I'm thinking AJ is setting up a break.. But if it cant move up. 400 to 800 pips below. The end of August it may run out of runway or sooner. 77.00 area may be a top needing breaking for bulls. If it implodes, month close would be -76.21, week -76.5, ...

The Swamp

nz with 4 cases drops. Just imagine 5,000,000 cases. With an estimated 10X more. That's why usd drops.

The Swamp

I'm still not sold on shorts, but we know it retraces. 1818 to me looks to be next. just above 1818 is 1821.4. maybe some R 1818/22. Maybe some inside trading. I'm still scared to trade that wtf weekly candle. it usually retraces the wicks on both ...

The Swamp

I may long on a 1762 pullback.

The Swamp

wow 4 cases.. I see your 4 and raise you 5,000,000 X 10. "Nobody could ever imaged such big numbers."

The Swamp

closing an h above 1787.7 and 1794.8 should be less bearish. it would increase 1818 odds. that said the flag starts in the 1800 area. both of those are some R.

The Swamp

i thought this could develop into a flag earlier for 18002.. But 1818 may attract higher. That R at 1775 was to attractive not to consider.. but its broke now.

The Swamp

as long as pa is near 1714 w/o a day close below. pa is susceptible to bounce. a week close below 1775 is also needed. Ideally Friday closing below is better for bears. Then we can talk about month. Being short, one should always taking some profit ...

The Swamp

I dont have any bearish bias. it didnt take out 1714.. 1818 looks like its coming. adr 1813

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-5 out. it had a bullish flag. 1800 area may be the minimal.

The Swamp

in, stops 1780

The Swamp

stops may be just a little above 1775..5 pips may be enough.. month week and day are still bullish. near 1714 is bounce-able.

The Swamp

caught the retrace last night. closed a little earlier after 1775 missed.

The Swamp

I'm thinking I should have longed earlier. I have a 1752 possible R. But I think 1770/81 may be best to wait for. Near 1707 bounces chance is better. Week wise 1775 could ed up being R. If week closed below. I dont have a strong bias to short. Month ...

The Swamp

I closed mine.

The Swamp

she just needs to relax. its getting closer to 1714. I got a tp at 21. no matter how weak she looks, pa is still above 1714. The month week and day are still bullish. Whatever happens now. Bears need to close day below 1761. Maybe 1714. bbl, after ...

The Swamp

1h -1743.8 -15 min 1738.8

The Swamp

the last 4h candle upper wick got longer.. lower wick shorter.. compared to the left..

The Swamp

finally a 4h close below 1761, possible run. h close below 1755.9, or 15 min -1753. Next 4 h is a day close.

The Swamp

other 4h s. 1714/07 may support some.. a 4h close below 1707 later may allow more drop. This is atm against month week and day trends.. that is why its so hard to drop.

The Swamp