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      State Control Returns to Mexican Energy Production
      Submitted Apr 2, 2025      |From oilprice.com

      Mexico’s energy sector is undergoing a dramatic transformation, which was announced on the 87th anniversary of the original oil expropriation by Lazaro Cardenas. These new ‘leyes secundarias’ will substantially alter the path set by the 2013 energy ...

      Kugler: Inflation Expectations and Monetary Policymaking
      Submitted Apr 2, 2025      |From federalreserve.gov|2 comments

      Thank you, Alan, and thank you to the Griswold and Julis-Rabinowitz Centers for the opportunity to speak to you today.1 As someone who has worked in both the public sector and academia, I applaud the common purpose of both centers in connecting researchers, policymakers, and the private sector to pursue policy ideas that serve the public good. To that end, I can think of few individuals who have done more—as a teacher, researcher, government official, and public figure—than Alan Blinder. That includes educating the public about economic policymaking. In the spring of 2022, as many wondered whether Russia's war on Ukraine would add to the factors then driving up inflation, Professor Blinder wrote in the Wall Street Journal that a more important factor would probably be the public's expectations of future inflation.2 As I will relate in these remarks, he was, of course, absolutely correct. As in the past, inflation expectations have played a crucial role in the course of inflation since the spring of 2022, and I expect they will be important in the Federal Reserve's ongoing effort to achieve sustained inflation of 2 percent. For that reason, I would like to focus on inflation expectations today, before discussing my outlook for the U.S. economy and the implications for appropriate monetary policy. First, I will describe inflation expectations within the conceptual framework that many economists use to connect inflation to broader economic activity, known as the Phillips curve. Second, I will discuss the central importance of the stability of these expectations, which we have come to call the "anchoring" of inflation expectations. Third, I will explain how firms and households form their inflation expectations and how these expectations affect their economic decisionmaking. Throughout, I will make some references to historical experiences with inflation but focus on the period since the pandemic. Fed's Kugler: I support keeping the current policy rate in place as long as upside risks to inflation continue, given stable activity and employment. Fed's Kugler: Latest data indicate progress towards 2% inflation may have stalled https://t.co/O5nvf5Hc4B

      Trump: Starting tomorrow, the US implements reciprocal tariffs
      Submitted Apr 2, 2025      |From @FirstSquawk|18 comments

      TRUMP: STARTING TOMORROW, THE US IMPLEMENTS RECIPROCAL TARIFFS. Trump: The Reciprocal rate will be half their tariff rate. They won't be fully reciprocal. *20% TARIFF ON EU, CHART SHOWS *34% TARIFF ON CHINA, CHART SHOWS *46% TARIFF ON VIETNAM, CHART SHOWS *24% TARIFF ON JAPAN, CHART SHOWS *TRUMP: UK RECICPROCAL RATE 10% *25% TARIFF ON SOUTH KOREA, CHART SHOWS *US TO SLAP 36% TARIFF ON THAILAND, CHART SHOWS *TRUMP: SWITZERLAND RECIPROCAL RATE 31% *US TO SLAP 49% TARIFF ON CAMBODIA, CHART SHOWS LIBERATION DAY RECIPROCAL TARIFFS pic.twitter.com/ODckbUWKvO