Submitted Sep 29, 2025|From forex.com

There is a real risk the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) September monetary policy decision may not be the key event for the Australian dollar on Tuesday, although it does carry the potential to spark short-term volatility in the hours following ...

Submitted Sep 28, 2025|From forex.com|1 comment

USD/JPY remains tethered to Fed cut pricing, with this week’s U.S. labour market data key to determining whether the breakout above 149 has staying power. Payrolls on Friday will be the key event, with any clean signal on jobs growth and ...

Submitted Sep 26, 2025|From forex.com|1 comment

Upside risks flagged for USD/JPY in our weekly outlook guide have materialised nicely, with the pair breaking higher on Thursday following a string of stronger-than-expected U.S. economic data. Right now, correlation analysis reveals it’s U.S. ...

Submitted Sep 25, 2025|From forex.com|2 comments

The final GDP release rarely moves markets, but Thursday’s Q2 US growth figures proved an exception — much to the delight of US dollar bulls. GDP was revised up to 3.8% y/y from 3.3%, its strongest pace since Q3 2023. Consumer spending rose to 2.5% ...

Submitted Sep 24, 2025|From forex.com

The US dollar was broadly higher on Wednesday after Jerome Powell’s speech, as traders failed to hear the dovish signal for a November cut they had been hoping for. Powell acknowledged downside risks to employment but stressed that inflation has ...

Submitted Sep 22, 2025|From forex.com

Japanese yen pairs remain at pivotal technical levels following Friday’s BOJ meeting, which delivered no fresh policy clues from Governor Ueda. USD/JPY continues to trade within its established range, AUD/JPY shows signs of exhaustion after a sharp ...

Submitted Sep 21, 2025|From forex.com

Range trade in USD/JPY is favoured early in the week in the absence of a black swan event. The key pieces of economic information arrive on Friday, putting increased emphasis on price action and Fedspeak in the days ahead. With the U.S. rate outlook ...

Submitted Sep 19, 2025|From forex.com

The U.S. dollar’s latest slide may prove short-lived, echoing the false signals from payrolls that tripped markets last year. With broader data still pointing to resilience and Fed independence fears looking overstated for the moment, the stage may ...

Submitted Sep 18, 2025|From forex.com|4 comments

The US dollar index rallied for a second day after the Federal Reserve (Fed) delivered a less-dovish-than-expected 25bp cut. Powell’s pushback against a larger 50bp cut wrongfooted traders who had pre-emptively positioned for a jumbo-sized move, ...

Submitted Sep 17, 2025|From forex.com

The US dollar reversed higher after the Federal Reserve delivered a 25bp cut, resisted calls for a 50bp move, and confirmed two more cuts by year-end. Markets had positioned for a more dovish outcome, which saw the greenback strengthen as traders ...

Submitted Sep 16, 2025|From forex.com|6 comments

For several weeks I have noted that USD/JPY has been ranging between two weekly volume points of control (VPOCs). As is often the case with ranges, there have been several twists and turns around these hidden support and resistance levels, each with ...

Submitted Sep 15, 2025|From forex.com

USD/CHF remains arguably the cleanest play on the U.S. interest rate outlook across the G10 FX universe, meaning Wednesday’s Federal Reserve policy decision and revised funds rate forecasts may be more influential on the pair than most. Unless you ...

Submitted Sep 15, 2025|From forex.com

The Australian dollar extended gains across the board last week, supported by stronger risk appetite, reduced expectations of RBA cuts, and growing confidence in back-to-back Fed cuts by December. AUD/USD broke higher as anticipated, reaching its ...

Submitted Sep 14, 2025|From forex.com

USD/JPY enters the week rangebound but finely balanced, with central bank risk set to decide the next move. Correlations show the pair is tracking Fed pricing almost exclusively, underscoring how dominant U.S. rate expectations have become while ...

Submitted Sep 11, 2025|From forex.com

The Australian and New Zealand dollars are powering higher against the greenback, fuelled by technicals, narrowing yield differentials, and a newfound fondness for Chinese markets. In the case of the Aussie, the move is significant, breaking the ...

Submitted Sep 9, 2025|From forex.com

The US economy created 911k fewer jobs in the 12 months to March, according to the latest Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) revision. That equates to an average shortfall of 76k jobs per month, reinforcing expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will ...

Submitted Sep 8, 2025|From forex.com

The Australian and New Zealand dollars are showing important technical setups across major pairs. AUD/USD is pressing against resistance with a bullish bias, AUD/NZD is flashing exhaustion signals after a strong rally, while NZD/USD is building ...

Submitted Sep 7, 2025|From forex.com

AUD/USD climbed on Friday as US dollar weakness followed a soft Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, with bulls now eyeing a breakout above the 0.66 handle. A weaker labour market, rising Fed cut bets, and firmer Australian data have underpinned ...

Submitted Sep 4, 2025|From forex.com

The US yield curve extended its decline for a second session on Wednesday, with a weak ADP employment report reinforcing bets of a Fed cut. The 2-year yield — the most sensitive to Fed policy expectations — slipped to an 11-month low of 3.59%. The ...

Submitted Sep 2, 2025|From forex.com

Markets reopened after Labor Day with a wave of risk aversion, as fiscal concerns, tariff uncertainty, and fresh political pressure on central banks rattled sentiment across the U.S. and Europe. A U.S. court ruling striking down part of Trump’s ...