- Search Energy EXCH
-
EventsTrader replied Dec 1, 2022US Employment Data - December Preview US Non-Farm Employment Change US Unemployment Rate Forecasts NFP: Per Bloomberg’s survey of economists, the range of estimates are mostly from 170K to 240K. The average estimate is 197K and the median is 200K. ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Nov 30, 2022
US Core PCE Price Index - November Preview US Core PCE Price Index m/m Forecast The range of estimates from economists surveyed by Bloomberg are mostly between 0.2%-0.4%. The median estimate is 0.3% and the average estimate is 0.29%. Anything ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Nov 15, 2022
US PPI data - November Follow up Both the overall and core PPI figures came in much lower than expected, outside the range of estimates. On top of that, last month's data was revised lower. image Bitcoin ticked up on the data release but quickly ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Nov 14, 2022
US PPI - November Preview While the data is important, historically it's not one that presents trading opportunities. Overall PPI is expected at 0.4%. The range of estimates are from 0.3% to 0.6%. The average forecast is 0.43% Core PPI is expected ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader commented Nov 10, 2022
He’s only been chair since 2021 but still… get his ass out and put someone in, anyone in, that will at least attempt to regulate crypto. The industry is waiting on him.
U.S. SEC Chair Gensler: need protection for crypto investors, the runway is getting shorter -...
- EventsTrader replied Nov 10, 2022
Bitcoin after CPI is heading higher as the market starts pricing in a 50 bps rate hike in Dec (rather than 75 bps). image There's been a big shift in December rate hike probabilities. 50 bps is looking very likely but still plenty of time to go. ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader commented Nov 10, 2022
This guy has had years to regulate but instead keeps on punting. Get his ass out and put Pierce in there. She'll get it done. He's realistically had 5 years. He's a failure.
U.S. SEC Chair Gensler: need protection for crypto investors, the runway is getting shorter -...
- EventsTrader replied Nov 9, 2022
US CPI - November Preview CPI m/m Core CPI m/m CPI y/y Forecasts Overall CPI m/m is expected to show a 0.6% increase. The range of estimates is from 0.5% to 0.7%. The distribution of forecasts is showing quite a bit of uncertainty about where the ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Nov 4, 2022
This reaction to the employment data doesn't make a lot of sense. image So what happened with the data? NFP beat expectations: 261K vs ~197K expected. Prior was revised up to 315K from 263K. Average hourly earnings beat expectations: 0.4% vs 0.3% ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Nov 3, 2022
US Employment Data - November Preview US Non-Farm Employment Change US Unemployment Rate Forecasts NFP: Per Bloomberg’s survey of economists, the range of estimates are from 128K to 256K, excluding outliers. Most of those forecasts are between 175K ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Nov 2, 2022
Fed Target Rate Probabilities - Update before FOMC Nov rate probabilities are little changed although shifted slightly towards the 75 bps rate hike. Again, it would be a major surprise if the Fed raised rates by anything but 75 bps. image Dec rate ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Nov 1, 2022
FOMC Meeting - November Preview Forecasts and expectations US Federal Funds Rate US FOMC Statement US FOMC Press Conference General consensus is that the Fed will hike by 75 bps. The current probability for a 75 bps hike is 85.5%. If the Fed ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Oct 14, 2022
US CPI data - October Follow up Both the core and overall number surprised to the upside, both deviating 0.2% from forecasts. Bitcoin sold off on the data, losing close to $1K before rebounding. image image If the 75 bps November rate hike ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Oct 12, 2022
We don't often see moves like this across markets so this was worth the visualization. Last month's CPI data rocked the markets across asset classes from crypto to energy to precious metals to currencies to equities. Here are some impacts from each ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Oct 12, 2022
US CPI - October Preview CPI m/m Core CPI m/m CPI y/y Forecasts Overall CPI m/m is expected to show a 0.2% increase. The range of estimates is from 0.1% to 0.3%. Although the majority of economists surveyed by Bloomberg are aligned at 0.2%, there ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Oct 12, 2022
US PPI data - October Follow up In the preview, I stated that even an in line PPI number could trigger a move. That long with Core PPI coming in higher than expected caused spikes across asset classes. Although they were quickly reversed. The bigger ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Oct 11, 2022
Tomorrow's PPI report might be a market mover. It's usually not but here are some things to consider: This month's release is one of the rare times the PPI report is released before the CPI data (due out Thursday). The fact that it's coming before ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader commented Sep 21, 2022
The dot plot is going to be the focus. I'm expecting fireworks at 2pm and through Powell's press conference. Check out the preview I posted including FOMC 2022 impacts: url
Fed expected to hike rates by three-quarters of a point again, but its forecast may matter most
- EventsTrader replied Sep 20, 2022
US FOMC - September Preview Forecasts and expectations Federal Funds Rate Although the market is pricing in an 18% chance of a 100 bps points rake hike, it’s not what economists are forecasting. Of economists surveyed by Bloomberg, there’s almost ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin
- EventsTrader replied Sep 16, 2022
US PPI data - September Follow up image image After an initial whipsaw, bitcoin moved a little higher on slightly higher than expected inflation data. As expected, the move was limited. Overall PPI was in line with expectations at -0.1% vs -0.1% ...
High Impact Events Trading... Bitcoin