PCE inflation data has been released: Headline PCE came out at 2.8%, which is below expectations and the previous reading of 2.9%. (These are still not the latest figures, as they are for January.) Core ...

US Personal Income and Outlays, January 2026

Let's take a closer look at the labor market results. The biggest cuts in retail trade. That is, this means that consumer spending is actively declining, that is, the consumer is very weak. And let me remind you that the consumer provides ...

Fed seen on longer rate-cut pause after December jobs data

In this situation, I believe gold will continue to rise. Gold is not dependent on corporate profits and benefits from monetary expansion and periods of distrust in banks. We are seeing a "stress background" and emergency injections to ensure the ...

Will the US dollar keep dropping?

The liquidity crisis in the US banking system is becoming more and more apparent. Over the last 5 business days before the new year, more than $50 billion was poured into banks. And in total, 74 billion was poured in in December! And if you consider ...

Will the US dollar keep dropping?

While we don't see direct data on the labor market at the moment, we can at least look at the indirect data: As of November, consumer expectations for higher unemployment next year have soared to a new local maximum, and have already exceeded ...

Fed reshuffling is coming, but 2026 still looks divided

This week will be busy in terms of macro statistics: Tuesday JOLTS Job Openings. We will see what happens in terms of vacancies (as one of the measurements of the labor market) CB Consumer Confidence. The level of consumer confidence from the ...

US: Inflation is heating up

The Fed has almost “zeroed out” the reverse REPO instrument - the volume has fallen from a peak of ~$2.6 trillion (2022) to 18 billion. What is it? A reverse REPO is when the Fed “borrows” money from funds and banks overnight, giving them government ...

Mystery Trader Makes Record Bet On 50bps Fed Rate Cut Tomorrow

The data on the yield of 20-year US bonds (U.S. 20-Year Bond Auction) has been released. The yield fell to 4.613% (previous data 4.876%). The yield, in principle, has decreased more or less well, and this is the fourth auction in a row of decline. ...

Why the 10-year US Treasury yield's bounce back above 4% should be a warning for investors

Investors have good confidence that the market growth will continue. The probability of a recession on Polymarket is estimated at only 11% (with a low of 7% on September 5). At the same time, rhetoric about a significant deterioration in the economy ...

US Dollar Slides and Gold Rallies to a Record High on Fed Easing Prospects

All the old senile fools should retire. Otherwise, they are turning our world into hell. Trump used modern technologies of fast information transfer to deceive Americans. It is a pity that the man has many court charges, and he controls the people ...

Trump: “Too Late” must cut interest rates, now, and bigger than he had in mind. Housing will...

Think about the elections in your country. In Ukraine, we will deal with our government ourselves.

European leaders to join Ukraine's Zelenskyy for White House meeting with Trump

What Russia is strong in is lies, distortion of facts (parallel world) and propaganda. But global lies and Russian bots have filled the vast space of the Internet. They have invested billions in this. (Of course, Putin is definitely not interested ...

Zelenskyy: 'It Would Be 'Impossible To Give Up Territory' To Russia

Do you want to be superior by insulting? Or what do you want to say? Is any country that is undergoing transformation, especially after the authoritarian Soviet Union, a garbage dump? Of course, Ukraine is going through a difficult path of ...

European leaders to join Ukraine's Zelenskyy for White House meeting with Trump

Why are you lying? Have you lived in Ukraine? Maybe you live in the Ukrainian Donbass? Usually this information is broadcast by Russians who have absolutely nothing to do with Ukrainian territories. The first people the Russians destroy are the ...

Zelenskiy Says Ukraine Won’t Give Up Donbas Region to Russia

You are absolutely right! New technologies in the modern world, unfortunately, not only improve the world, but also help those who do not consider the well-being and development of people to come to power. Only loud statements and shows (emotions) ...

Trump: Big Progress on Russia. Stay Tuned!

I hope that with joint efforts all Russian criminals will be severely punished. The collective mind of creative thinking and development must win. Strength to our president and our Ukrainian people. I wish only peace and goodness to all people. ...

European leaders to join Ukraine's Zelenskyy for White House meeting with Trump

So, a terrorist and criminal Putin can allow something to someone? Seriously? Such publications are trying to mislead people. Just ask yourself: who benefits from such meaningless publications, interviews and for what purpose are they made?

White House envoy claims Russia agreed to ‘Article 5-like’ security guarantees for Ukraine