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EventsTrader replied Mar 6, 2023Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will testify before Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday as part of his semiannual monetary policy report. Traders will be watching for any clues on the Fed’s interest-rate outlook. Powell is expected to reiterate ...
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- EventsTrader replied Feb 15, 2023
US PPI - February Preview US Core PPI m/m US PPI m/m Forecasts While the data is important, historically it's not one that presents trading opportunities. Overall PPI is expected at 0.4%. The range of estimates are mostly between 0.3% to 0.5%. The ...
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- EventsTrader replied Feb 14, 2023
US Retail Sales - February Preview US Retail Sales m/m US Core Retail Sales m/m Forecasts Retail Sales m/m: There's a wide range of estimates between 0.5% and 3.0%. The median estimate is 2.0% and the average is 1.86%. Core Retail Sales m/m: Range ...
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- EventsTrader replied Feb 13, 2023
US CPI - February Preview US CPI y/y US CPI m/m US Core CPI m/m Forecasts US CPI y/y: Range of forecasts are between 6.1% and 6.4%. The average estimate is 6.23% and the median 6.2%. US CPI m/m: The range of forecasts are mostly between 0.4% and ...
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- EventsTrader commented Feb 3, 2023
Aside from the big surprises in NFP and the 53 year low in the unemployment rate, avg hourly earnings was revised up. That means last month's number (which triggered big moves across the board) was actually only in line with expectations. Very ...
The Employment Situation -- January 2023
- EventsTrader replied Feb 2, 2023
US Employment Data - February Preview Non-Farm Employment Change Unemployment Rate Average Hourly Earnings m/m Forecasts NFP forecasts are mostly within a range of about 150K to 235K. The average estimate is 198K and median 190K. The more recent ...
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- EventsTrader commented Feb 1, 2023
25 bps is done. Rate statement isn't expected to have any big surprises. The focus should be on Powell's press conference. He's likely going to deliver a hawkish message, although history shows he's had a hard time doing that. He's going to have to ...
Here's everything the Fed is expected to do Wednesday
- EventsTrader replied Jan 31, 2023
FOMC Meeting - February Preview US Federal Funds Rate US FOMC Statement US FOMC Press Conference Forecasts and expectations The Fed will raise rates by 25 bps following last month's 50 bps increase and four straight 75 bps hikes. The market has ...
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- EventsTrader commented Jan 18, 2023
WTH!? All that hype for Bitzlato? Never heard of them. Crypto rallying on the news or lack thereof.
DOJ Takes Enforcement Action Against Russian Exchange Bitzlato
- EventsTrader replied Jan 17, 2023
US PPI - January Preview url While the data is important, historically it's not one that presents trading opportunities. Additionally, it's being released alongside US retail sales. Expect volatility. Overall PPI is expected at -0.1%. The range of ...
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- EventsTrader replied Jan 12, 2023
The story after CPI is rate expectations for the Feb and March FOMC meetings. Both CPI and the core number came out as expected. Then, after the release Fed's Harker came out and backed the 25 bps rate hike for Feb. After the release, as of 9am, the ...
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- EventsTrader replied Jan 11, 2023
US CPI - January Preview US CPI m/m US Core CPI m/m US CPI y/y Forecasts US CPI m/m: I see good potential for a lower number even though the consensus forecast is already low at -0.1%. As we've gotten closer to the release, the forecasts are skewing ...
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- EventsTrader replied Jan 10, 2023
Fed Chair Powell Speaks Ahead of CPI on Friday, it's unlikely that he'll make any definitive statements on whether the Fed will hike by 25 or 50 bps. Regardless, it wouldn't be surprising to see the markets move. He'll likely stick with the script ...
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- EventsTrader replied Jan 6, 2023
US Employment Data - January Follow up Although NFP and the unemployment rate beat expectations, it was wage inflation that took center stage. Here's how the market reacted: image What was behind the move? NFP came in at 223K vs 200K expected and ...
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- EventsTrader replied Jan 5, 2023
US Employment Data - January Preview US Non-Farm Employment Change US Unemployment Rate US Average Hourly Earnings m/m Forecasts The unemployment rate is widely expected to remain at 3.7%. Average hourly earnings is expected to tick down to 0.4% ...
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- EventsTrader replied Dec 14, 2022
FOMC Meeting - December Preview US FOMC Economic Projections US FOMC Statement US Federal Funds Rate US FOMC Press Conference Forecasts and expectations US Federal Funds Rate - The Fed is widely expected to raise rates by 50 bps. Anything other than ...
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- EventsTrader replied Dec 13, 2022
US CPI data - December Follow up Today's CPI data came in weaker than expected, outside most range of estimates. Overall CPI: 0.1% vs 0.3% Core CPI: 0.2% vs 0.3% CPI y/y: 7.1% vs 7.3% image Forecasts from major banks were all 7.2% or higher. image ...
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- EventsTrader replied Dec 12, 2022
US CPI - December Preview US CPI m/m US Core CPI m/m US CPI y/y Forecasts US CPI m/m: range of estimates are in a range of 0.2% to 0.4%. Median forecast is 0.3% and the average is 0.28%. US Core CPI m/m: range of estimates are mostly in a tight ...
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