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- Submitted Nov 12, 2025|From forex.com
Australia’s economy delivered another strong set of employment figures, extinguishing already fading hopes of an RBA rate cut. Unemployment fell for the first time in 11 months, dropping 0.2 percentage points to 4.3%. A total of 42.2k jobs were ...
- Submitted Nov 12, 2025|From forex.com
Switzerland may soon reach a deal with the United States to cut tariffs on Swiss exports from 39% to 15%, possibly as early as this week. The move would reverse President Trump’s earlier tariff hike in August, which hit key Swiss industries like ...
- Submitted Nov 12, 2025|From forex.com
Appetite for risk remained firm on Wednesday as the US House prepared to vote on ending the longest government shutdown in American history. Now in its 43rd day, a successful vote would allow government agencies to begin releasing a large backlog of ...
- Submitted Nov 11, 2025|From forex.com|6 comments
The Swiss franc was the strongest major currency on Tuesday after President Trump announced he is “working on a deal” to reduce tariffs on Swiss exports. Currently set at 39%, any reduction would likely support Switzerland’s export sector and, by ...
- Submitted Nov 11, 2025|From forex.com
EUR/USD remains tightly linked to Fed rate expectations, with correlations near extreme levels. With U.S. data flow still restricted and both central banks in wait-and-see mode, the pair may tread water until major releases return. Price action near ...
- Submitted Nov 10, 2025|From forex.com
At the end of October, I warned that gold looked set to retrace higher and recover some of its losses from the record high. While bulls dragged their heels initially, they finally regained control of prices with conviction on Monday. Gold futures ...
- Submitted Nov 10, 2025|From forex.com
The Australian dollar was the strongest major currency on Monday after concrete steps from the US Senate to potentially end the government shutdown boosted risk appetite. The US dollar lost some of its safe-haven appeal, slipping against the British ...
- Submitted Nov 9, 2025|From forex.com
Traders face a mixed bag coming out of the weekend. While optimism around a potential end to the U.S. government shutdown has helped spark a minor bid in the dollar, the release of Moonshot’s Kimi K2 Thinking model late last week adds another layer ...
- Submitted Nov 9, 2025|From forex.com
The RBA’s decision to hold their cash rate at 3.6% surprised few. Their updated forecasts suggest just a single rate cut in 2026, and likely closer to the second half than the first. While some are speculating that the RBA’s next rate change will ...
- Submitted Nov 8, 2025|From forex.com
The relationship between USD/JPY and U.S. interest rates continues to strengthen, especially at the front end of the curve which is heavily influenced by shifts in monetary policy expectations. With no top-tier economic data on the calendar due to ...
- Submitted Nov 6, 2025|From forex.com|7 comments
With the shutdown silencing official data, private U.S. releases like ADP and Challenger are driving the market narrative, sparking volatility in yields and currencies and producing price signals in EUR/USD and USD/JPY that may prove unreliable. ...
- Submitted Nov 5, 2025|From forex.com
Japanese wages continue to go backwards after inflation, casting doubt on the BOJ’s ability to generate sustainable, demand-driven price pressures. Governor Ueda’s upcoming speech could be pivotal, especially following an upside surprise Tokyo CPI ...
- Submitted Nov 5, 2025|From forex.com
There’s been a lot of negativity in the crypto space recently, both in price action and headlines. ‘Uptober’, as it’s become known, didn’t go to script this time, with Bitcoin and Ethereum plunging during a period in which they’ve historically ...
- Submitted Nov 5, 2025|From forex.com
A stronger-than-expected US ISM services print helped Wall Street indices stabilise overnight, easing fears of an immediate recession. This allowed the Japanese yen to retreat and gave commodity currencies room to recover, with AUD/USD and NZD/USD ...
- Submitted Nov 4, 2025|From forex.com
The Japanese yen was the strongest FX major during a risk-off session on Tuesday, though the US dollar was not far behind. A sharp decline in Palantir’s stock despite a positive outlook, combined with warnings from the Goldman Sachs and Morgan ...
- Submitted Nov 3, 2025|From forex.com
An icy inflation report has revived speculation about the Swiss National Bank (SNB) having to cut interest rates into negative territory, combining with higher U.S. Treasury yields to spark a powerful bullish breakout in USD/CHF. Given recent price ...
- Submitted Nov 3, 2025|From forex.com
The US dollar index traded within three points of the 100 handle on Monday, closing at a six-month high. I outlined 100 as a potential upside target for bulls a few weeks back, and if momentum turns lower from here, it could mark wave C of a flat ...
- Submitted Nov 2, 2025|From forex.com
The price action in NZD/USD turned decidedly bearish last week, coinciding with a renewed bout of U.S. dollar strength sparked by a recalibration of the U.S. interest rate outlook as Jerome Powell cast doubt on whether the FOMC will deliver a third ...
- Submitted Nov 2, 2025|From forex.com|5 comments
The Australian dollar outperformed its peers last week after strong inflation data dashed hopes of an RBA rate cut this year. With the central bank vindicated in its cautious stance, attention now shifts to upcoming employment figures and US data ...
- Submitted Nov 1, 2025|From forex.com|1 comment
USD/JPY remains led by U.S. yields, with Powell’s pushback on rate cuts keeping the dollar supported. With key data missing due to the shutdown, Fed commentary and private surveys will set the next move, while bulls hold control. Sitting in an ...