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venzen commented Aug 13, 2013coffee spurted all over my new monitor... thanks a lot. Selective facts (from fiddled figures), fuzzy logic and "stock boom may not be driven by QE and low rates". What absolute poppycock!
End of QE could mean liftoff for stocks: Wells Capital
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venzen replied Aug 13, 2013Hi Scott, yes, i discovered the thread whilst looking for "confirmation" for the recent EU short trade. PT does indeed run a good ship here and the analysis on this thread is well-informed. Thanks for the link and good luck today.
EurAnalysis
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venzen commented Aug 12, 2013That is a perfectly suitable track record for a key personality in a politico-financial role in the world's only superpower. Plus he looks like Chancellor Palpatine. And just like Palpatine he wields power by opposing trade regulation to leverage a ...
Larry Summers' record should rule him out of the Fed chairmanship
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venzen replied Aug 12, 2013AlienOvich, If the details of those positions are truthful then they are very interesting. But how do we know the banks actually hold those trades? Do they publish the facts somewhere? Just wondering, because a break of 3420 will by implication set ...
EurAnalysis
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venzen replied Aug 12, 2013CurrencyMan, Just to pipe in and say that those 7 points you mention fit my list exactly. And, indeed, thanks to PipTrapper for a great thread and useful resources.
EurAnalysis
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venzen commented Aug 10, 2013Thanks for this Jay. Perhaps I am not reading good, but I am not exactly sure on your prognosis: are you saying that you favour a USD reversal to the upside from current levels or expect further weakness to 79?
Dollar Still In The Box Boss
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venzen replied Aug 9, 2013Miaovin, let me welcome you on behalf of this thread. Your post is great and exactly what the guys here like to see. Could you please update the thread with your every trade - every morning and every night. Add more detail if you can! Also, it would ...
EURUSD
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venzen replied Aug 9, 2013true, true... what am i actually going to do. In saying all that I am verily speculating on the direction of the USD. Which is down now and will prick up when there is any mention of reducing the market's monthly stimulant dosage. Should a general ...
EurAnalysis
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venzen replied Aug 9, 2013i see your logic, but without a 'tapernomics" shock as was the case on that last sell-off, i think we're in for a technical correction as in the early to mid-June period. Of course, I would also like to see a "Big Mama" of a drop, but I believe ...
EurAnalysis
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venzen replied Aug 9, 2013redteamgo and boringisgood, both points to consider: yes, "taper" is a CNN'ism and the internal dynamics may remain a mystery. Whatever it is the Fed are going to do or not do, it is in the interest of the Fed and the US to be seen steering the ...
EurAnalysis
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venzen replied Aug 9, 2013oh wow! a euro-shaped bone! for me? all 15pips of it? mr. market, really, you're too kind!
EurAnalysis
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venzen replied Aug 9, 2013Deconstructing the situation we can establish certain facts: 1) The Fed is painted in a corner. Continue QE and the Bond yields blow sky high thereby causing a global Treasuries rout. Taper (or even just mention it) and the beloved stock market ...
EurAnalysis
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venzen replied Aug 9, 2013Like the wave count. I hope it turns out to be THE ONE. I suspect massive manipulation in the EU price movements and hope the institutions behind it are not setting up a fatal bear trap with this current chart formation... so many retailers have ...
EurAnalysis
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venzen replied Aug 9, 2013PT, thanks for your V. Always happy to find agreeable conversationalists in these badlands
My broker is Oanda, so they are well-monied and regulated. However, i am alluding to the outside chance of a slow and sustained market crash. So say ...EurAnalysis
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venzen replied Aug 9, 2013got some momentum by backing up... i have nothing but Al Swearengen's choicest language for this pair...
EURUSD
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venzen replied Aug 9, 2013corrected some garbled editing re: UJ, EJ and EU in my previous post.
EurAnalysis
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venzen replied Aug 9, 2013Lots of interesting analysis in your previous posts. I like the distinction you're emphasizing between Fed tapering and rate policy. Food for thought... One thing I noticed is your mention of the correlation between UJ, EJ and EU. So we know that EJ ...
EurAnalysis
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venzen replied Aug 9, 2013perhaps it will move down in the European or US sessions, but how far? there is the bear trap. Looking at PA over the past month it seems a careful technical manipulation to give up enough to get some kinetic energy back only to push up later in the ...
EURUSD