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- Submitted Jan 13, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com|5 comments
Risk assets remain in their fiscal cliff relief rally, and that overall risk-on sentiment is lifting the EURUSD. The ECB’s relatively hawkish press conference helped maintain the EUR’s interest rate advantage over the USD. Whether or not that ...
- Submitted Jan 12, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com|15 comments
EU Crisis Reminder: Why It Isn’t Getting Better, Implications for Stocks, Gold, the EURUSD and Other Currency Pairs and Asset Classes, and What To Do While doing research for our recent 4 part summary of 2013 market forecasts, I noticed that few ...
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Cliff Wachtel commented Jan 7, 2013I cover these in depth in my book, The Sensible Guide To Forex (Wiley, 2012) Useful tool if have lots of confidence in the trend, because that's what you're betting on for the life of the option. For most traders, a legit choice IF playing ...
Binary Options vs Forex
- Submitted Jan 5, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com
Short Version: Bearish Fundamentals, Mixed Technical Picture It’s hard enough anticipating the pair’s moves for the coming week, never mind the coming year. Despite the risk of looking silly in hindsight, forming outlooks for the coming year is ...
- Submitted Jan 5, 2013|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com
Part 1 of a 4 Part Series: The Key Bearish, Bullish Market Movers, Top Risks And Questions, Conclusions, And What To Do, Summarized, With Links To Details over the medium and long term FX pairs follow overall risk appetite - here's a summary of ...
- Submitted Dec 29, 2012|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com
For financial markets, this week really doesn’t get going until Wednesday, when both the calendar and trading volume start to return to full strength, so we’ll try to keep this weekly preview brief. We covered the first three listed below in our ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Dec 24, 2012
My apologies for any lack of clarity on terms. Bullish means pro risk assets, feeds optimism on growth (because a bull gores in an UPWARD motion). Bearish means the opposite because a bear strikes with paw in downward motion. A give an extensive and ...
Coming week: 6 reasons to be bearish
- Submitted Dec 23, 2012|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com
Here are the four most likely sources of volatility this week. We’ll keep it very short and hope we can enjoy a quiet week, so here’s a fast look at what might disturb the peace. Barring any major surprises, this week should be very quiet due to a ...
- Submitted Dec 22, 2012|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com|2 comments
As noted here, this week is likely to be a quiet one for markets in general, particularly in Europe and the US as both markets will be mostly on vacation this week. We covered our major observations about lessons for risk assets in general for the ...
- Submitted Dec 22, 2012|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com|3 comments
Last Week’s Market Movers And What They Tell Us For The Coming Weeks About Stocks, Currencies, And Other Global Markets First, let’s quickly review the prior week in global markets. Then we look at the top 4 lessons to take into the coming weeks, ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Dec 17, 2012
By 'bearish' I meant negative on risk assets, which in general would be bullish for USD
Coming week: 6 reasons to be bearish
- Submitted Dec 15, 2012|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com|15 comments
Fiscal Cliff Dive To Spoil Christmas Break For Markets? Here’s the rundown of likely market movers this week, their likely impact, and some thoughts on what to do, and on the one thing you must do. 1. GENERAL FISCAL CLIFF UNCERTAINTY: BEARISH Given ...
- Submitted Dec 15, 2012|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com
Once again, markets moved only slightly higher, so the term ‘top market mover’ is strictly relative. Nothing moved markets that much. However these were still significant for the coming week for the lessons and guidance they offer. So let’s get ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Dec 14, 2012
may work for long term trades but hard time trades based on sentiment
The only reason to short gold & the bigger fx lesson implied
- Submitted Dec 9, 2012|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com
1. FISCAL CLIFF HEADLINES With EU crisis risk considered minimal in the coming weeks, the fiscal cliff negotiations present the biggest new recession threat to the US and thus global economy. With less than 3 working weeks left, markets still expect ...
- Submitted Dec 8, 2012|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com|2 comments
As I’ve discussed repeatedly in both my articles over the past year (most can be found here or here), and in depth in my recently published book, there is widespread confusion about what really drives gold and what kind of asset it really is. The ...
- Cliff Wachtel commented Dec 3, 2012
thanks for input re: chart - meant to keep simple, but what additions would you suggest?
Eurusd forecast for the rest of 2012: Any upside left?
- Submitted Dec 2, 2012|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com|2 comments
The primary bullish and bearish considerations Based on fundamental news, the past week should have been great for the EUR. Latest Greek aid deal approved Spain bank bailout clears EU Uncertainty lifts on Catalonia elections without a clear victory ...
- Submitted Nov 25, 2012|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com|1 comment
The top market movers for this week could also be the top market drivers for the rest of the year, for traders and investors of stocks, forex, and most other global markets. Their common denominator and lesson is that we’re in a time of money ...
- Submitted Nov 18, 2012|From thesensibleguidetoforex.com
A strategy guide to what’s moving all major global markets. Likely market movers, and building market crash risk as we head towards the New Year We already discussed most of the top market movers for this week here. Rather than repeat them, we’ll ...