Submitted Nov 30, 2025|From forex.com|6 comments

Speaking in Nagoya, BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda struck a hawkish tone, citing fading tariff risks, rising wages and FX sensitivity as reasons policy normalisation is warranted. Markets reacted sharply: swaps now price a 73% chance of a December hike, ...

Submitted Nov 30, 2025|From forex.com

AUD/USD enters the week on a six-day winning streak — its strongest run since April — driven by broad US dollar weakness, firm Australian data and solid risk appetite. With Q3 GDP due and a dense US data calendar dominated by PMIs, PCE and labour ...

Submitted Nov 27, 2025|From forex.com|1 comment

Inflationary pressures in Japan’s capital, Tokyo, remained elevated in November, pointing to the risk of similar trends nationwide and keeping the prospects of a Bank of Japan (BOJ) rate hike next month very much alive. Headline consumer prices rose ...

Submitted Nov 26, 2025|From forex.com|1 comment

The Japanese yen extended its weakness into Thursday as a firm risk-on tone lifted major currencies and global equity futures. NZD and AUD outperformed, USD/JPY held a pivotal support zone, and the Nikkei 225 continued to shadow yen weakness as it ...

Submitted Nov 25, 2025|From forex.com

Australia’s first full monthly CPI release delivered an uncomfortable reality check for those banking on further RBA rate cuts. Headline inflation accelerated to an annual pace of 3.8%, above the 3.6% expected, while trimmed mean—the measure the RBA ...

Submitted Nov 25, 2025|From forex.com

As expected, the RBNZ cut the cash rate by 25 basis points to 2.25% in November. The vote was 5-1 in favour of the decision, with deliberation centred on whether to hold or cut the cash rate by 25 basis points, not whether to ease by 25 or 50. The ...

Submitted Nov 25, 2025|From forex.com

USD/JPY is probing key support as a weaker US dollar and rising Fed cut expectations ripple across FX markets. Softer US data, dovish Fed commentary and improving risk appetite have pushed traders to reassess the December meeting and the timing of ...

Submitted Nov 24, 2025|From forex.com|1 comment

Seasonality analysis often focuses on longer-term annual trends, but shorter patterns also emerge around major events and holidays. A well-known example is the equity “Santa rally” in late December. Here, we examine market performance around the US ...

Submitted Nov 24, 2025|From forex.com

EUR/JPY and EUR/CHF are both sitting at important technical junctures. For EUR/JPY, the uptrend remains dominant, with oscillators backing a bullish bias as long as 180.00 support holds. EUR/CHF, meanwhile, is flirting with a breakout above .9325 ...

Submitted Nov 23, 2025|From forex.com

The Australian dollar was the second weakest FX major against the US dollar last week, with the bearish engulfing week on AUD/USD marking its worst week in six While the Aussie was flat against the yen last week, AUD/JPY fell for a second day on ...

Submitted Nov 23, 2025|From forex.com

Japan’s fiscal outlook has been one factor behind the yen’s slide, with long-end JGB yields hitting record highs as traders grow uneasy about the scale of potential new borrowing. The move has added to existing pressures on the currency, including ...

Submitted Nov 20, 2025|From forex.com

The Australian dollar failed to take advantage of a weaker Japanese yen. Given AUD/JPY met resistance at the November high with a 1-bar bearish reversal pattern (shooting star), my bias is now for at least a near-term reversal against its bullish ...

Submitted Nov 19, 2025|From forex.com

The bearish Bitcoin target around 90k that I outlined in early October was reached on Wednesday. It wasn’t the easiest target to set, given it required a break below the key 100k level and came with plenty of verbal pushback from bulls along the ...

Submitted Nov 19, 2025|From forex.com

Out of the entire FX universe, few pairs can lay claim to delivering cleaner and more reliable price signals than USD/CHF, or so it seems. We saw another example last week, culminating in what’s proven to be a rapid rebound, putting the October ...

Submitted Nov 19, 2025|From forex.com|2 comments

The US dollar was the strongest major on Wednesday after the FOMC minutes revealed that “many” members viewed a December rate cut as “likely not appropriate.” Adding to the hawkish tone, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics cancelled the release of the ...

Submitted Nov 18, 2025|From forex.com

The New Zealand dollar’s characteristics have shifted over the past fortnight, no longer trading like a risk asset as was the case entering November. Unusually, it’s not demonstrating any strong relationship with cyclical assets—including those ...

Submitted Nov 18, 2025|From forex.com

The British pound is mixed across the majors, but bearish technical signals are forming against USD, AUD and CAD. If today’s UK inflation data undershoots expectations and increases the odds of a Bank of England cut, it could support downside setups ...

Submitted Nov 17, 2025|From forex.com

The narrow U.S. dollar index (DXY) has bounced off trend support and printed a bullish reversal, hinting at a possible push toward the November highs. EUR/USD is showing the opposite pattern, with price action and momentum tilting lower. With ...

Submitted Nov 16, 2025|From forex.com

Australia’s strong employment report poured cold water on the already low expectations of an RBA cut this year. The figures also hinted that a hike could be the next move, though the RBA would need time to prepare the market for such a reversal. ...

Submitted Nov 13, 2025|From forex.com|2 comments

The risk-off tone swept across global markets on Thursday, with the Nasdaq 100 leading Wall Street’s decline and safe-haven flows once again favouring the Swiss franc. Overstretched AI stocks were hit hardest, while uncertainty around incoming US ...