If 50% expect a rate raise, would that mean only 50% of the market is pricing in a move based on a hike? I think there will be action either outcome. Best of luck!

AUD Intererest rate

I made bank! — That was an awesome trade for me. Hope everyone made out ok.

FOMC Statement

It was the press conference that drove the market. I need some sleep.

Swiss National Bank Interest Rate Decision - March 15, 2007

I am sure that a rise in rates will also have a dramatic effect being that it was rescheduled.

Swiss National Bank Interest Rate Decision - March 15, 2007

HAha!! This is too funny. I was reading conflicting times about when this release was happening, but I thought it was 4:30 EST... So I established my position, and this is as good as I could have asked for on the actual news release! Oh well, I'm ...

Swiss National Bank Interest Rate Decision - March 15, 2007

Another article url Good analysis on this one!

Swiss National Bank Interest Rate Decision - March 15, 2007

Two more good articles about this: url url This may be my best trade yet (or worse lol!).

Swiss National Bank Interest Rate Decision - March 15, 2007

I trade the news in a big way. In fact, the best thing I could find is a release in which I know there will be volatility (before release), and wont be a retraction. And the effects of the carry trade are also kin.

Do you enter after or before the news?

Based across everything I've seen, the opinion about what the SNB will ultimately do seems divided... not much in the way of hard data either... Here's another article I found: url

Swiss National Bank Interest Rate Decision - March 15, 2007

Interest Rate Statements — I think adding the Bank of England Interest Rate Decision would be a good idea. Same with ECB's interest rate decisions, though, lately BoE is creating more volatility. Not sure if its been mentioned yet. Again, ...

Historic Charts of Economic Releases

Even if they do raise rates as intended, I would expect to see a little action. I've seen it before, but also of note: last month, rates were left unchanged as expected, with not so much as a peep in the EUR markets.

EUR: ECB Will not raise Interest Rates on Thursday

Be careful using these guys' numbers traders! url

NFP March 9

ADP-NFP Changes — I just read a little blurb on this at WSJ url They increased the size of the data sample (to 400k payrolls from 125k) and according to their backtesting, matches the revision numbers with 85% accuracy. I wont trade this ...

New and Improved ADP! LOL

I think it is entertaining to read these predictions, it stimulates discussion about the impeding release (the current underlying market factors). I personally trade agnostic to the direction of the markets... whatever I think I may know about the ...

BoJ Rate Decision and Fukui speaks at 1:30 EST

Rockin! I can't get enough!!

BoJ Rate Decision and Fukui speaks at 1:30 EST

The Tension Mounts!! — BOJ RATE DECISION: EXPECTED TIME OF THE ANNOUNCEMENT - No official time, but could drop any time after 22:00 ET - 1/17: Decision was announced at 23:05 ET - 12/18: Decision was announced at 22:26 ET - 11/15: Decision was ...

BoJ Rate Decision and Fukui speaks at 1:30 EST

Monthly Report — GAIN Capital's market commentary says that BoJ Monthly Report is out at 1 AM EST. Could this be their official decision announcement or just some summary of their meeting? Don't the meeting minutes cover that?

BoJ Rate Decision and Fukui speaks at 1:30 EST

Broader Market Forces — Good article on Yen: url I read somewhere Toyota posted an additional $150 million in profit in a recent quarter due to the weakness of the Yen. I also recently read somewhere that bond activity is high in Japan, even ...

BoJ Rate Decision and Fukui speaks at 1:30 EST