- Search Energy EXCH
-
EventsTrader commented 11 hr agoThis data has lost its luster. It's still important enough to look into though. Today's data gives hawkish-leaning Fed members support for staying put, since consumer demand still looks resilient. At the same time, the softer pockets help argue ...
United States Retail Sales expanded by 0.9% MoM in May
- EventsTrader commented Jun 10, 2026
I agree that the next move will be a hike, but this no doubt gives the non-hawks some room to be patient.
US Consumer Price Index - May 2026
- EventsTrader commented Jun 10, 2026
Total energy inflation is up 23.5% y/y - Gasoline up 40.5% y/y - Fuel Oil up 58.9% y/yUS Consumer Price Index - May 2026
- EventsTrader commented Jun 10, 2026
Mostly in line with expectations. Inflation pressures are concentrated in energy rather than broadening across the economy. That distinction may give the Fed more confidence to remain patient.
Gasoline: 7.0% - The largest ...US Consumer Price Index - May 2026
- EventsTrader commented May 13, 2026 PPI y/y: 6.0% Core PPI y/y: 5.2%US Producer Price Index - April 2026
- EventsTrader commented May 12, 2026
We are going to have a new nickname coming for Warsh.
US Consumer Price Index - April 2026
- EventsTrader commented May 12, 2026
Claims just printed 200K, NFP came in at 115K vs 65K forecast, and unemployment held at 4.3%. Not the kind of backdrop that forces the Fed's hand on the dovish side, especially with inflation reaccelerating.
US Consumer Price Index - April 2026
- EventsTrader commented May 12, 2026
Agreed on energy. The pipeline lag is the part most people aren't pricing in. Crude is still above 100. Even an immediate reversal in the Iran situation leaves us with at least another month or two of pressure feeding through, or more. And yeah, a ...
US Consumer Price Index - April 2026
- EventsTrader commented May 12, 2026
Hot.
- The combination of elevated headline inflation, firmer core inflation, and sticky shelter/services pressure could likely push the Fed into a hawkish lean. The disinflation trend that ran through early 2026 has reversed. Notable: ...US Consumer Price Index - April 2026
- EventsTrader commented May 8, 2026
Mixed bag but labor market continues to show strength.
Average hourly earnings (0.2% m/m) - Wage growth seems like it remained firm, but to two decimals this figure is lower at 0.16%. Notable: Transportation & ...The US Employment Situation -- April 2026
- EventsTrader commented Mar 11, 2026
As expected. Gradual progress toward the Fed’s inflation target. While the cooling in shelter and declines in several goods categories support disinflation, firm services inflation and rising energy costs suggest the Fed will likely maintain a ...
US Consumer Price Index - February 2026
- EventsTrader commented Mar 2, 2026
ISM report signals manufacturing remains in expansion but with cooling growth and still-soft employment, which on its own does not pressure the Fed to tighten. However, the sharp jump in the Prices Index to 70.5 reinforces lingering pipeline ...
US Manufacturing PMI at 52.4%; February 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI Report
- EventsTrader commented Feb 13, 2026
Cooling
Notables: Airline fares (+6.5%): Biggest monthly mover, showing sharp volatility and a strong rebound after prior weakness. Cereals & bakery products (+1.2%): Largest ...US Consumer Price Index - January 2026
- EventsTrader commented Feb 11, 2026
But wait there's more! Annual revisions.
By December 2025, payroll levels were revised lower by 1,029,000 jobs. Monthly Gains Were Systematically Overstated. Look ...The US Employment Situation -- January 2026
- EventsTrader commented Feb 11, 2026
Above expectations across the board. Notable:
Health Care +82K: Still the dominant engine (ambulatory +50K, hospitals +18K) — continues to anchor overall job growth. Social Assistance +42K: ...The US Employment Situation -- January 2026
- EventsTrader commented Jan 13, 2026
This CPI was hawkish under the hood: • Headline stable only because gasoline fell • Services, shelter, food, and travel are re-accelerating • Core inflation is not decelerating This report does not support early rate cuts. It confirms inflation is ...
US Consumer Price Index - December 2025
- EventsTrader commented Jan 13, 2026
Pretty much in line with expectations. The Core m/m figure of 0.2% to three decimals is on the higher end: 0.239%. Core inflation is easing, but not fast enough, shelter and services remain sticky. Goods disinflation is helping, but services ...
US Consumer Price Index - December 2025
- EventsTrader commented Oct 24, 2025
Energy rebound was the main story, offsetting slightly softer core inflation. Core services remain elevated, particularly shelter, medical, and recreation, keeping underlying inflation sticky. With headline and core both at 3.0% y/y, inflation ...
US Consumer Price Index - September 2025
- EventsTrader commented Aug 29, 2025
There’s not much justification for a September rate cut at this point. The market’s attention will be on next Friday’s jobs report, which will carry significant weight. Takeaways: - Headline PCE is now at 2.6% y/y and the Core figure at 2.9% y/y. - ...
US Personal Income and Outlays, July 2025
- EventsTrader commented Aug 29, 2025
Ouch. Big moves in the loonie.
Canada’s economy contracted at a -1.6% annualized pace. Shrank -0.4% q/q in Q2 2025, its first decline in nearly two years. U.S. ...Canadian Gross Domestic Product, Income and Expenditure, Second Quarter 2025