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- squallpips replied Oct 27, 2015
I may be wrong but I'm holding off until after the US goods numbers. Corporate earnings of companies like Caterpillar (and Apple suppliers) make me think they could be quite awful. And the Dax seems directionless, not much PA.
- squallpips replied Oct 23, 2015
A lower euro should help the Dax. I don't think we'll head to parity though, the dollar seems to be punching back each time. In addition China will announce its five year plan next week and the BoJ will probably add to the stimulus frenzy, this ...
- squallpips replied Oct 22, 2015
Kudos to D1 trading into DJ's dusk I guess it will be a warm winter if Draghi announces QE2 and a rate cut in December. Otherwise it'll be a deflation of the markets in addition to that of the mainstream economy. I got my eye on next week's US ...
- squallpips replied Oct 8, 2015
ECB will most probably be (boringly) dovish. Most action is to be expected from the Fed minutes at 20:00 CEST.
- squallpips replied Oct 7, 2015
The Shanghai exchange should open tomorrow. The Hong Kong Mainland index jumped 9% during the holiday, so I expect some gains for China tomorrow. Next week there is a whole slew of Chinese numbers for trade balance, PPI and CPI. These could have an ...
- squallpips replied Sep 29, 2015
America has got a lot of downward pressure on healthcare stocks, could offset the QE funds. While QE2 would be good for the stock market, I doubt it could stave off the recessionary tendency of the past few months.
- squallpips replied Sep 29, 2015
Even if we avoid a significant downturn today, there are Chinese PMI numbers coming out on Thursday and they will be pretty dismal if we follow the trend of the past few months. This will add pressure on the stock markets, unless it's a surprise ...
- squallpips replied Sep 24, 2015
We're creeping back to 16100 on the DJ, but with the bearish momentum it could be difficult to fend off a slide down. The Dax is tenuously holding onto 9400 but another car scandal and we're off again. Are we in for a set of negative sessions now, ...
- squallpips replied Sep 24, 2015
The politicians are/were very cosy with the car manufacturers with regards to emission regulation and fuel efficiency tests. The pressure will now be mounting to provide lower emissions and more accurate fuel efficiency numbers. Car manufacturers ...
- squallpips replied Sep 22, 2015
The announcement of VW plunged all car shares (also on CAC40): url They went from -5% to -16% in a matter of minutes, the bear will be difficult to defeat today. Other manufacturers are quoting at -6 to -8%.
- squallpips replied Sep 21, 2015
A heads-up for today: Volkswagen is trading -16% to -18%, so this heavily skews the movement of Dax compared to other European indices. The potential multibillion fine from the American EPA will keep the stock (and the Dax) down for the day. EDIT: ...
- squallpips replied Sep 9, 2015
The NYSE open sometimes gives a false candle, I'm not sure the downtrend will continue much beyond 16:00 when the dust settles. Though a gentle slope has been going on since 15:00, so who knows. In any case, compared to other EU indices, the DAX has ...
- squallpips replied Sep 2, 2015
I guess we're waiting for buying dips. The US number expectations are betting on improving conditions in the US, if that's confirmed we could have a big pushup for markets. It'll be a busy few hours from 14:15 until 16:30. I'm looking at entry ...
- squallpips replied Sep 1, 2015
This is one of the more difficult days for predicting DJ/DAX. It does seem it's ticking up again, at least we're not going into -5% territory, but if it will remain at the current 16200 or tick up to 16300, who knows. Bloomberg TV is blaming the ...
- squallpips replied Sep 1, 2015
It seems to rally already towards open, but like yesterday there could be huge swings either way. Then it went downhill before turning up. I think they'll grasp the straw of the US PMI data if that's positive, otherwise we'll have to hope they won't ...
- squallpips replied Aug 31, 2015
At least the rise of the past hour is clear: OPEC wants to talk to other producers. But I'm surprised the jump is so severe, I doubt other countries will lower production, though downward pressure seems gone for the next few sessions.
- squallpips replied Aug 31, 2015
That's a very fast turnaround, rising from $43.85 to $45 and then back to $44 at US open. Was there a flush of WTI contracts that came onto the markets? Such volatility is usually seen around the inventory numbers announcement. Does anyone have an ...
- squallpips replied Aug 31, 2015
I held off buying at 10230 and it dropped to 10200. It seems to be very slowly chugging along with UK closed and US still having to open. I think the Dax will be pulled down if the DJ drops below 16500 but holds for now (it did just that in the ...
- squallpips replied Aug 31, 2015
Well done, I totally missed it, was reckoning the Chinese carnage and Fed worries would flow into the European session, but it seems to be rather stable. 10225 seems a nice pullback level, let's see if that holds.
- squallpips replied Aug 27, 2015
I think you're correct. For now markets are reassured that central banks and Chinese authorities staved off the market drops. That doesn't mean that the Chinese economy won't bite us back in the coming months but the more short term traders will be ...