- Search Energy EXCH
- 115 Results (103 Replies , 12 Comments )
- LloydOz replied Aug 24, 2021
Lots to digest in those pages, thankyou. Way too much to comment on, will choose some bits in the fullness of time to perhaps add my own thoughts. Re Taleb - I think T is misrepresented should those bullet points be correct. That said, most people ...
- LloydOz replied Jul 20, 2021
Some, or all, of this (even though the quote is only the bit starting with the discussion about Ian) is actually pretty sad at some level. I do query the bit about a "reasonable person". Its tricky, this reasonable person metric. An article writing ...
- LloydOz replied Apr 24, 2021
I happen to have daily futures data of NG beginning 1990. The 90s decade saw prices hover around 1 to 3 and occasionally 4. I dunno why they went massively volatile in the decade beginning 2000, I wasn't watching. I don't make trade decisions based ...
- LloydOz commented Mar 14, 2021
So that's crushing one perfectly good and reliable car that someone like a tertiary student with modest financial means might've liked to buy for maybe 3000 quid. And Mohammed (dude in the clip) can then choose what to do with that dosh which may ...
- LloydOz replied Feb 14, 2021
The Metatrader ADX formula is incorrect. Dunno why someone hasn't seen fit to custom code it correctly. Beggars belief. Once that is done, then it may be useful to explore something like a dashboard or whatever.
- LloydOz commented Feb 10, 2021
yes, but there are other kickers as well - that if a government artificially maintains an exchange rate, market forces may (I say - "will") eventually lead to the demise of that policy. As with any bureaucratically set price. As if that is some ...
- LloydOz commented Feb 10, 2021
One day you say Soros is some kinda terrorist, and the next day you say that I can "start"(!!?) my education of hedge funds and Soros by reading a book. Bit like me asserting without evidence that Nelson Mandela was a terrorist, and instead of ...
- LloydOz commented Jan 11, 2021
Sounds all a bit like a commercial justification for a form of eugenics, actually. By the way, this "facts" thing versus propaganda. Those on the right (whatever that is) know the facts and also know the non-facts/untruths (the propaganda), and ...
- LloydOz commented Jan 6, 2021
His hypothesis is that the VIX "should" increase before a tumble. But later he says, correctly, that the VIX is a coincident indicator, not a leading indicator.. But what the heck, write a couple hundred words anyway and chuck in a bit of Sherlock ...
- LloydOz commented Jan 3, 2021
Er, no. Its a hardwiring issue.
- LloydOz commented Jan 3, 2021
And neither does it come even close to robust analysis.
- LloydOz commented Jan 2, 2021
Irving Fisher would be proud of you.
- LloydOz commented Dec 31, 2020
To the extent that the Executive (bureaucrats) are granted Judicial powers, this is wrong. It may be OK in Europe, but is definitely not anywhere in the British separation of powers doctrine. This utter dysfunction has been creeping into Australia ...
- LloydOz commented Dec 28, 2020
The quote says "averting government shutdown". This is important, or something? I lust for the day the government is where it was designed to be, providing essential services duties.
- LloydOz replied Dec 21, 2020
I guess it was just a line of thought. On what basis would a line be significant if some padding is required? Define an acceptable level of padding. Would that be being an honest researcher? If it exceeds the line and the padding, then it was not ...
- LloydOz replied Nov 21, 2020
Probably not a bad moment to stand aside and play something safe like russian roulette or get married. At least the risks are known there. Bitcoin is a cruel and shallow money trench, and trading it makes good men die like dogs. There's also a ...
- LloydOz replied Nov 16, 2020
Excuse me intruding here Clem. I think that there have been some excellent ideas presented here in this new book for a trader with moderate experience (modesty is always good however experienced you may be). The backtesting thing, one bar at a time. ...
- LloydOz replied Nov 10, 2020
Give up while you still remain sane. It is a never ending rabbit hole. A bit like snowflakes - they share the same characteristic of finite area, but have infinite fractal curves, many of which will be similar and so the human eye seeks patterns.
- LloydOz replied Oct 18, 2020
This is very wise, I think. It is important to focus on what you are comfortable with. However I do think that it is important to read widely to test truths that you may hold close - within reason (as I've mentioned, I tend to give up if I know its ...
- LloydOz replied Oct 18, 2020
A couple things. I don't think the "smart" condition is either necessary or sufficient. The hypothesis is what is known as an assumption in theoretical microeconomics. Dates back at least to Adam Smith and beyond, but in more general terms ...