US Presidential Election

Given its importance, we surveyed nearly 1,000 HNW investors¹ and 500 business owners² for our latest UBS Investor Watch: US presidential election . We found that while both groups are more optimistic than they were four years ago, they overwhelmingly want help navigating the election’s potential financial impact. Here are the top five findings from our report: More HNW investors lean toward Harris, while more business owners favor Trump. The economy is the number one election issue for both groups, and they feel more positive about ...

The US presidential election is drawing ever closer and there can be no doubt that the race heated up after President Joe Biden abruptly dropped out. His vice president, Kamala Harris, was the obvious choice to replace him despite doubts about her electability. Yet, she managed to steal Donald Trump’s thunder almost immediately after Biden’s endorsement made her the frontrunner to replace him. It didn’t take long for other senior Democrats to give their backing too, and Harris soon had enough delegate votes to secure the party’s ...

A new day dawns for the economy and politics starting Monday. Last week brought to a close two significant and unprecedented periods in the economic and political worlds. The nomination of Kamala Harris, who until a month ago thought she was running as the No. 2 on the Joe Biden reelection train, starts the final countdown to a volatile and nasty 2024 presidential election, pitting a first-timer against former President Donald Trump. Then Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell sent a clarion signal that the era of high ...

Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 5, and the uncertainty can present pitfalls for investors. “There are a lot of emotions involved,” says Dan Lefkovitz, a strategist with Morningstar Indexes and co-host of The Long View podcast. “It’s also really hard to predict the results of an election, what sort of policies are going to be enacted, what the market reaction is going to be.” Although investors’ instincts might be to race to prepare for these developments, that’s not always the best course of action. Dan Kemp, global chief investment ...

The dynamics of the 2024 US election have been altered by the entry of Vice President Kamala Harris, after President Joe Biden dropped out of the race in July as the Democratic candidate. Both the Democratic Party and its donors have been quick to consolidate around her candidacy, and her campaign thus far has largely avoided any major public missteps. Recent polls suggest Harris is better positioned in a head-to-head contest against former President Donald Trump. She has gained more than six points in national polls and improved on ...

No one can predict what's going to happen on 5 November when Americans go to the polls to elect either Donald Trump or Kamala Harris. However, we have tried to look at various scenarios which could affect asset classes via domestic, foreign and trade policy. We'll be writing extensively on this over the coming weeks. So think of this as an introduction. Our emphasis is very much on the factors that could shape the future, rather than the point forecasts themselves. Scenario 1: Trump clean sweep Donald Trump wins the Presidency and ...

In the mid-1990s, I gathered with reporters at the National Press Club to hear T. Boone Pickens’ vision for natural gas and how it would impact the transportation sector. At the time, he was a one-man show who said that the fuel would be a healthy substitute for petroleum that was dirtier and more expensive. Twenty-five years later, however, electric vehicles are leading the pack — primarily a function of incentives laid out during the Obama administration and ones that sought to reduce the level of harmful emissions, including CO2. ...