US Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
Expectations of future inflation can manifest into real inflation, primarily because workers tend to push for higher wages when they believe prices will rise;
There are 2 versions of this data released 14 days apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earlier and thus tends to have the most impact;
- US Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations Graph
- History
| Expected Impact / Date | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | 4.9% | 4.3% | |
| Feb 7, 2025 | 4.3% | 3.3% | |
| Jan 10, 2025 | 3.3% | 2.8% | |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2.9% | 2.6% | |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2.6% | 2.7% | |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2.9% | 2.7% | |
| Sep 13, 2024 | 2.7% | 2.8% | |
| Aug 16, 2024 | 2.9% | 2.9% |
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- US Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations News
From cbsnews.com|Mar 14, 2025|3 commentsU.S. consumer sentiment swooned in March, with a preliminary gauge released by the University of Michigan on Friday proving far weaker than economists had expected. The results are "a reflection of the Great Uncertainty around the economic policies put forward by the Trump administration," commented High Frequency economist Carl Weinberg. "Consumer spending may become restrained by caution until the Trump economic agenda becomes clear." The preliminary results show the index fell to 57.9, compared with 64.7 a month ago, according to ...
From @LiveSquawk|Mar 14, 2025|24 commentspost: US Univ. Of Michigan Showed Consumer Sentiment Fell To A More Than Two-Year Low And Long-Term Inflation Expectations Jumped By The Most Since 1993 post: Another yucky University of Michigan inflation expectations reading Year-ahead inflation expectations jumped to 4.9% from 4.3%. Three consecutive months of unusually large increases of 0.5 percentage points or more. This month’s rise was seen across all three political… pic.twitter.com/1OEBfVw6bh post: University of Michigan consumer survey: • Consumer sentiment slid another 11% this month, with declines seen consistently across all groups by age, education, income, wealth, political affiliations, and geographic regions. • Republicans posted a sizable 10% decline in their… https://t.co/Ua1lVVolkt Consumer sentiment continues to plunge on fears over Trump’s trade war, tumbling 11% this month The Trump bump in consumer sentiment is now a Trump slump. Americans continue to grow worried over President Donald Trump’s escalating and haphazard trade war, according to the University of Michigan’s latest consumer survey released Friday. Consumer sentiment fell 11% this month, a preliminary reading showed, reaching its lowest level since November 2022. That’s a sharp retreat from December, after the US presidential election, when sentiment rose to its highest level in months. The Trump administration’s rollout of its long-promised tariffs has been both erratic and contentious: Earlier this month, Trump imposed 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada, only to delay those duties again after pleas from business leaders; then after US tariffs on steel and aluminum imports went into effect Wednesday, the European Union and Canada responded swiftly with their own tariffs.
From cnbc.com|Feb 7, 2025Consumers grew dramatically more worried about near-term inflation as President Donald Trump pushed aggressive tariffs against major U.S. trading partners, a closely watched survey showed Friday. The University of Michigan consumer survey for February showed that respondents expect the inflation rate a year from now to be 4.3%, a 1 percentage point jump from January and the highest level since November 2023. Though Trump postponed tariffs against Canada and Mexico, the looming threat of price pass-throughs to consumers shook ...
From forexlive.com|Feb 7, 2025|2 commentsThe first look at February US consumer sentiment from the University of Michigan • Prior was 71.1 • Current conditions 68.7 vs 73.0 expected • Expectations 67.3 vs 70.0 expected • 1-year inflation 4.3% vs 3.3% prior • 5-year inflation 3.3% vs 3.2% prior. One-year inflation expectations jumped in January to the highest since 2008 on tariff worries.US Consumer Sentiment Drops to Seven-Month Low on Price Worries US consumer sentiment slumped in early February to a seven-month low on a spike in short-term inflation ...
- From breakingthenews.net|Jan 10, 2025|1 comment
The Consumer Sentiment Index in the United States declined by 1.1% in January compared to the month before, to stand at 73.2, a preliminary report by the University of Michigan showed on Friday. On an annual level, the figure plunged by 7.3%. The Current Economic Conditions Index jumped 3.7% in the reported month compared to December but dropped 4.9% compared to January 2024, amounting to 77.9 points. The Index of Consumer Expectations fell by 4.2% on a monthly basis and 8.9% on an annual basis, coming in at 70.2. "Year-ahead ...
- From breakingthenews.net|Dec 6, 2024
The Consumer Sentiment Index in the United States rose 3.1% in December compared to the month before, to stand at 74.0, a preliminary report issued by the University of Michigan showed on Friday. On an annual level, the figure surged by 6.2%. The Current Economic Conditions Index jumped 21.6% in the reported month compared to November and climbed by 6% compared to December 2023, amounting to 77.7 points. The Index of Consumer Expectations plunged by 6.9% on a monthly basis and rose 6.2% on a yearly basis, coming in at 71.6. ...
From breakingthenews.net|Nov 8, 2024The Consumer Sentiment Index in the United States rose in November compared to the previous month to land at 73.0, according to a preliminary report published by the University of Michigan on Friday. The figure grew 19.1% compared to the same period of last year. The Current Economic Conditions Index saw a decline of 0.9% compared to the month prior, slumping 5.7% on an annual level, to stand at 64.4. Meanwhile, the Index of Consumer Expectations was up 5.9% on a monthly basis while jumping 38.2% compared to the same period of 2023, ...
- From breakingthenews.net|Oct 11, 2024
The Consumer Sentiment Index in the United States decreased in October compared to the previous month to land at 68.9, according to a preliminary report published by the University of Michigan on Friday. The figure grew 8.8% compared to the same period of last year. The Current Economic Conditions Index saw a decline of 0.9% compared to the month prior, slumping 11.2% on an annual level, to stand at 62.7. Meanwhile, the Index of Consumer Expectations was down 2.0% on a monthly basis while jumping 22.9 compared to the same period of ...
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| Released on Feb 7, 2025 |
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| Released on Jan 10, 2025 |
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| Released on Dec 6, 2024 |
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| Released on Nov 8, 2024 |
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| Released on Oct 11, 2024 |
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