EZ CPI Flash Estimate y/y
Consumer prices account for a majority of overall inflation. Inflation is important because rising prices lead the central bank to raise interest rates out of respect for their inflation containment mandate;
Eurostat bases this estimate on energy prices and 13 euro area member states that report early CPI data. There are 2 versions of this report released about two weeks apart – Flash and Final. The Final is not reported for lack of significance;
- EZ CPI Flash Estimate y/y Graph
- History
Expected Impact / Date | Actual | Forecast | Previous |
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Oct 1, 2024 | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% |
Aug 30, 2024 | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% |
Jul 31, 2024 | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
Jul 2, 2024 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
May 31, 2024 | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% |
Apr 30, 2024 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% |
Apr 3, 2024 | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
Mar 1, 2024 | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% |
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- EZ CPI Flash Estimate y/y News
Euro zone inflation fell to 1.8% in September, coming in below the European Central Bank’s 2% target, flash data from statistics agency Eurostat showed Tuesday. The reading was in line with the expectations of economists polled by Reuters, after annual inflation hit a three-year-low of 2.2% in August. The core inflation rate, which excludes more volatile energy, food, alcohol and tobacco prices, came in at 2.7%. It was forecast to remain unchanged from the August reading of 2.8%. Services inflation in the euro zone eased to 4% in ...
Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 1.8% in September 2024, down from 2.2% in August according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, services is expected to have the highest annual rate in September (4.0%, compared with 4.1% in August), followed by food, alcohol & tobacco (2.4%, compared with 2.3% in August), non-energy industrial goods (0.4%, stable compared with August) and energy (-6.0%, compared with -3.0% in August).
Inflation rates on both sides of the Atlantic continue to cool, setting the stage for interest rate cuts by key central banks later this month. In the United States, personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation met expectations in July, showing a modest rise both monthly and annually. Meanwhile, in Europe, inflation fell closer to the target of 2%, reaching its lowest level in three years. Economists attributed the easing in Europe's annual inflation rate to a significant decline in Germany's economy, strengthening the case for a ...
Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.2% in August 2024, down from 2.6% in July according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, services is expected to have the highest annual rate in August (4.2%, compared with 4.0% in July), followed by food, alcohol & tobacco (2.4%, compared with 2.3% in July), non-energy industrial goods (0.4%, compared with 0.7% in July) and energy (-3.0%, compared with 1.2% in July).
This preview of weekly data looks at USOIL and XAUUSD where economic data coming up later this week are the main market drivers for the near short-term outlook. The most important economic data for this week are: Preliminary German inflation, US GDP, EU Flash inflation, US PCE index, NBS manufacturing PMI Thursday: Preliminary German inflation rate at 12:00 PM GMT. The market consensus for the month of August is for a decline on the figure of around 0.2% reaching 2.1%. If this is broadly accurate then it could most probably influence ...
US inflation figures in the coming week will reinforce that long-awaited interest-rate cuts are coming soon, while a reading on consumer spending is seen indicating that the central bank has been successful at keeping the expansion intact. Economists see the personal consumption expenditures price index excluding food and energy — the Fed’s preferred measure of underlying inflation — rising 0.2% in July for a second month. That would pull the three-month annualized rate of so-called core inflation down to 2.1%, a smidgen above the ...
In the middle of last week, the Fed funds futures discounted 103 bp of cuts this year. There was some movement but after Fed Chair Powell’s, but the market finished the week with 104 bp of cuts priced into the Fed funds futures curve. The two-year note yield settled at a three-week low and the dollar slumped. The Dollar Index's 1.7% lost last week, its fifth consecutive drop and the largest weekly decline of the year. Although the euro rose to $1.12, its best level since July 2023, and sterling appreciated to $1.3230, its best level ...
Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 2.6% in July 2024, up from 2.5% in June according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. Looking at the main components of euro area inflation, services is expected to have the highest annual rate in July (4.0%, compared with 4.1% in June), followed by food, alcohol & tobacco (2.3%, compared with 2.4% in June), energy (1.3%, compared with 0.2% in June) and non-energy industrial goods (0.8%, compared with 0.7% in June).
Released on Oct 1, 2024 |
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Released on Aug 30, 2024 |
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Released on Jul 31, 2024 |
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