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Justin's Playground

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  • Post #3,301
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  • Jun 10, 2022 8:14am Jun 10, 2022 8:14am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
After some brief pause, I came back to FF.... now spreading some negativity here and there. Actually acting a bad guy is fun as I am somewhat tired of acting a good guy. FF is an absolutely waste of time. 99% of people you come across are here to sell something. FF is a cesspool indeed.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
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  • Post #3,302
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  • Jun 10, 2022 8:19am Jun 10, 2022 8:19am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
Quoting heispark
Disliked
{quote} Nat gas has game over in this winter. Nat gas is controlled by strong seasonality. {image}
Ignored
Yes, I was totally wrong even though I still made money from spread trading. Staying with majority in the market is very dangerous. Now what? Many people expect higher nat gas price..........
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,303
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  • Jun 10, 2022 9:05am Jun 10, 2022 9:05am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
Quoting heispark
Disliked
{quote} IMHO, following candle shapes or patterns is also a 'prediction'. In this case, entry is usually late because you need a confirmation and you are prone to be trapped. I think modern market doesn't work in this way. If it does, anyone can make money. How about following 'impulse' instead? Quick in and out needed to survive in modern day trading.... The closest person who I guess is a profitable trader is RealJumper, although it seems he's also struggling recently. See how he traded following 'impulse'.
Ignored
Some people play with candle shapes or patterns and I think its edge is weak. I would rather follow impulse. The following is an example. After initial fake move, they reveal real intention. Look at the momentum and impulse. This move is very fast even in higher TFs. Therefore you need to be glued to your computer screen for hours.
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,304
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  • Jun 11, 2022 7:34am Jun 11, 2022 7:34am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
Crack Spreads

https://www.cmegroup.com/education/a...k-spreads.html

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Personally, I think nat gas calendar spread trading gives better opportunities compared to crack spreads.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,305
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  • Jun 12, 2022 7:43am Jun 12, 2022 7:43am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
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https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com...tures-rebound/
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,306
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  • Jun 14, 2022 6:10am Jun 14, 2022 6:10am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
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https://www.hellenicshippingnews.com...rt-lng-outage/
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,307
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  • Jun 14, 2022 12:21pm Jun 14, 2022 12:21pm
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
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My spread trading has been a huge success so far.
I love nat gas so much!
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,308
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  • Jun 14, 2022 12:41pm Jun 14, 2022 12:41pm
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
15% move !! You don't need GBPAUD or EURNZD for high volatility.... really.
This is what we commonly see with nat gas futures.

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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,309
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  • Jun 15, 2022 3:50am Jun 15, 2022 3:50am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
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https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/a...utdown-1033594
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,310
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  • Jun 15, 2022 7:35am Jun 15, 2022 7:35am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
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https://www.spglobal.com/commodityin...ex-gas-futures
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,311
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  • Jun 15, 2022 9:35am Jun 15, 2022 9:35am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
Quoting heispark
Disliked
Crack Spreads https://www.cmegroup.com/education/a...k-spreads.html {image} Personally, I think nat gas calendar spread trading gives better opportunities compared to crack spreads.
Ignored
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I am a bit interested in 1:1 /CL (Crude Oil) vs. /HO (Heating Oil, i.e. Diesel). It looks it never goes below zero.......
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,312
  • Quote
  • Jun 15, 2022 10:08am Jun 15, 2022 10:08am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
Quoting heispark
Disliked
Crack Spreads https://www.cmegroup.com/education/a...k-spreads.html {image} Personally, I think nat gas calendar spread trading gives better opportunities compared to crack spreads.
Ignored
The previous 3:2:1 crack spread chart was inaccurate. The following one is accurate one with correct formula:
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,313
  • Quote
  • Edited 8:22am Jun 16, 2022 4:58am | Edited 8:22am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
Quoting heispark
Disliked
Even with bad tick issue and violent nat gas volatility recently, my July-Aug, Nov-Dec and Jun23-July23 spread trading has been working nicely and my account is growing consistently. I found myself losing interest in day trading indeed. I sold Nov-Dec-Jan butterfly at -0.002 yesterday. {image}
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However, the biggest winner was Nov-Dec spread which had moved from -0.017 to -0.098. This means one contract with margin of less than $300 would have generated $800 by now. Just unbelievable....

By the way, will Nov-Dec spread replicate Oct-Nov spread?

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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,314
  • Quote
  • Jun 20, 2022 7:38pm Jun 20, 2022 7:38pm
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
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Most big nat gas traders didn't even come to the office yesterday...... Happy holiday.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
  • Post #3,315
  • Quote
  • Last Post: Jun 24, 2022 9:21am Jun 24, 2022 9:21am
  •  heispark
  • Joined Apr 2011 | Status: Hoc Etiam Transibit.... | 5,001 Posts
Good Bye World !
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Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication - Leonardo da Vinci
 
 
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