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  • Post #10,641
  • Quote
  • Jul 8, 2022 6:13am Jul 8, 2022 6:13am
  •  Temujin
  • Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Member | 1,369 Posts
Non Farn payrolls coming up. +250,000 jobs expected. More than that full steam ahead for the Fed deflation plan.
Be humble or be humbled.
 
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  • Post #10,642
  • Quote
  • Edited at 10:09pm Jul 8, 2022 7:13am | Edited at 10:09pm
  •  Cools81
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Member | 158 Posts
Quoting Jolita
Disliked
{quote} Hi Cools, nice trades, do you mostly trade 1 min chart?
Ignored
Thanks. These are just Hindsight examples. I just like oil auctions. Was having a look.
Some days yes get close to that as a performance but most of the time you get 3 or 4 of those whilst having a loss a few cuts etc. you will be up greatly. The key imo is just stay strong emotionally. Easier said than done. Ha for me anyway.

I personally trade ES futures for the liquidity and the fact that there is no good oil futures brokers?? Is there any decent broker for oil futures?

Anyway I like 15 second charts or 200 volume for ES and time of day.
What pace you use for entry/risk management, I think can be a personal thing. Depends on what market you trade, your psychology, appetite for pace … basically what WONT tip you into fomo/chasing/raving lunatic haha whilst keeping your perspective of where price is (floor / ceiling / poc level, distribution etc.)
 
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  • Post #10,643
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  • Jul 9, 2022 12:00am Jul 9, 2022 12:00am
  •  Cools81
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Member | 158 Posts
us open - Friday July 8TH
10 successful projections / trades in 2 hrs
20:1 or 30:1 or more?? possible but even with losses and misses 10:1 very doable. in 2 friggin' hours.
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  • Post #10,644
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  • Jul 10, 2022 6:54pm Jul 10, 2022 6:54pm
  •  Temujin
  • Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Member | 1,369 Posts
Heading back down below $105
SHORT it
Be humble or be humbled.
 
 
  • Post #10,645
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  • Jul 10, 2022 11:45pm Jul 10, 2022 11:45pm
  •  MrAnonymous
  • | Joined Mar 2016 | Status: Member | 49 Posts
This cot stochastics indicator is massively oversold with a reading of 0%. That's the minimum. Not only does the main trend in WTI go up until Q2 2023, but the cot stochastics indicator is bullish for the current week.
buy stop at 105.563
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  • Post #10,646
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  • Jul 12, 2022 6:48am Jul 12, 2022 6:48am
  •  Temujin
  • Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Member | 1,369 Posts
Quoting MrAnonymous
Disliked
This cot stochastics indicator is massively oversold with a reading of 0%. That's the minimum. Not only does the main trend in WTI go up until Q2 2023, but the cot stochastics indicator is bullish for the current week. buy stop at 105.563 {image}
Ignored
$90 is coming very soon.
Be humble or be humbled.
 
 
  • Post #10,647
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  • Jul 12, 2022 1:04pm Jul 12, 2022 1:04pm
  •  Reda.el
  • | Joined Mar 2022 | Status: ELITE FOX | 23 Posts
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REDA_EL_HARAOUI
 
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  • Post #10,648
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  • Jul 12, 2022 4:52pm Jul 12, 2022 4:52pm
  •  Temujin
  • Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Member | 1,369 Posts
Quoting Reda.el
Disliked
{image}
Ignored
I'm the oil whisperer, buy at $90. 200 Day Moving Average, whoosh.
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Be humble or be humbled.
 
 
  • Post #10,649
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  • Jul 12, 2022 10:00pm Jul 12, 2022 10:00pm
  •  Cools81
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Member | 158 Posts
Some nice trades in Asia
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  • Post #10,650
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  • Jul 13, 2022 9:45am Jul 13, 2022 9:45am
  •  Temujin
  • Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Member | 1,369 Posts
CPI 9.1% so Brother Jerome will come with the Super Size rate hike July 27th. Worst earnings in a long while to start reporting any day now also.
A deflationary scenario is coming to a refiner near you. In the past CPI reports oil just skyrocketed but not this time, I wonder why?
Could it be oil traders know that a commodity crushing interest rate hike is right around the corner and they don't want to be holding the bag at $96?
Be humble or be humbled.
 
 
  • Post #10,651
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  • Jul 14, 2022 1:17am Jul 14, 2022 1:17am
  •  Temujin
  • Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Member | 1,369 Posts
I went long at $95 to dump everything on Friday. Never know if Black Monday is here.
Be humble or be humbled.
 
 
  • Post #10,652
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2022 5:00am Jul 14, 2022 5:00am
  •  Cools81
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Member | 158 Posts
anyone like the london open test and squeeze? What a great short. 6:1 to macro liquidity.
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  • Post #10,653
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  • Jul 14, 2022 7:30am Jul 14, 2022 7:30am
  •  Temujin
  • Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Member | 1,369 Posts
Because of the inflation report Nomura is forecasting a full 1.0% hike. The crash all these analysts are predicting, the risk has never been higher than it is now.
Be humble or be humbled.
 
 
  • Post #10,654
  • Quote
  • Jul 14, 2022 3:43pm Jul 14, 2022 3:43pm
  •  Jolita
  • Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Focused | 2,389 Posts | Invisible
Hi all, hope you made some nice trades, went uder $90 . All feels faked to me, lets see how much more squeeze will be added.
I don't hold any trades, feel like sea is quiet before the storm. Good
 
 
  • Post #10,655
  • Quote
  • Edited at 9:02pm Jul 14, 2022 7:43pm | Edited at 9:02pm
  •  Cools81
  • Joined Oct 2018 | Status: Member | 158 Posts
So just to be clear no one here intraday trades oil?
Is this more an investing in OIL CFD? ETFs group?
holding for days? weeks? or months?
Ok all good. Ill have a dip at some long term analysis.
All the same with auctions just a lot longer imo.
Just harder to manage and opportunities are far and few between. But if thats all the time you have then thats all you can do I guess.
Heres what I think HAS happened.
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AND heres the Scenarios going forward I see.
Who knows. I really think it will squeeze lower at some stage. But imo it needs a discount or to accumulate a lower hold, first.
ALWAYS get the DISCOUNT like above. Long term - We at LONG discount, so buy oil, but be wary. Id say moreso be on the look out for a SHORT discount.
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  • Post #10,656
  • Quote
  • Jul 18, 2022 4:03pm Jul 18, 2022 4:03pm
  •  Temujin
  • Joined Dec 2013 | Status: Member | 1,369 Posts
Back to $90 then $86
Be humble or be humbled.
 
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  • Post #10,657
  • Quote
  • Jul 18, 2022 7:53pm Jul 18, 2022 7:53pm
  •  Jolita
  • Joined Jan 2012 | Status: Focused | 2,389 Posts | Invisible
Quoting Temujin
Disliked
Back to $90 then $86
Ignored
Similar Temujin, let s see if upper level will get rejected or taken. Weekly indicates bearish trend.

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  • Post #10,658
  • Quote
  • Jul 19, 2022 5:24am Jul 19, 2022 5:24am
  •  Ayax.TSS
  • Joined Apr 2019 | Status: Member | 2,196 Posts
#CRUDEOIL / H4
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  • Post #10,659
  • Quote
  • Jul 20, 2022 10:25pm Jul 20, 2022 10:25pm
  •  yani38
  • Joined Nov 2016 | Status: Member | 667 Posts
Hi all, thought could be worth a sell from here, see how it goes.

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'Those are my principles, and if you don’t like them… well, I have others.'
 
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  • Post #10,660
  • Quote
  • Jul 21, 2022 4:34am Jul 21, 2022 4:34am
  •  yani38
  • Joined Nov 2016 | Status: Member | 667 Posts
Dangerous time of day to trade atm, but happy ; )

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'Those are my principles, and if you don’t like them… well, I have others.'
 
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