Menu
Search

Options

Search
Search
Search

Bookmark Thread

First Page First Unread Last Page Last Post

Printable Version

You are viewing
the Energy EXCH
beta version.

Your participation
is appreciated!

Similar Threads

Price Action & Fundamentals with Smart Money 76 replies

Trading Smart Money 2 replies

Attachments: Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis
Exit Attachments

Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: MM_Week43_2018.JPG Size: 806 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Specs_Week_43_2018.jpg Size: 785 KB
Intelligence is the ability to adapt to change. -- Stephen Hawking
Quoting Dunstan
Hi everyone, The latest Commitments of Traders review is out.
Nasdaq-100 COT Change (52W) / C – 34%, LS – 36% 14% / FTG Score / D -4.1, W 28.0, M 36.8 / Interesting to see Traders still close to bullish extreme levels here. As said in the review, I think we should always have a look at the other indexes as well to get an overall picture.
I had a look at the U.S. Stock Index Complex cot data (only at COTbase) and saw All Time BEARISH cot extreme!!
So even with the bullish signs we have right now in Nasdaq (bullish...
On point!!!
Thank you for sharing
Hi everyone,

The latest Commitments of Traders review is out.

S&P-500
COT Change (52W) / C – 33%, LS – 28%, SS - 20% /
FTG Score / D -20.5, W 12.0, M 34.7 /
We saw a bullish cot change signal, but the extreme is still bearish. This, combined with a -20.5 daily FTG score suggests to me that we may neglect the change signal and focus our attention on the larger picture.

Orange Juice
COT Extreme / C, LS – 178 report COT extreme /
FTG Score / D -27.9, W -0.5, M -14.3 /
The picture remained the same in the past two weeks since my last post… The bullish extreme is in place, prices should head north in the medium/long term.

Euro
COT Extreme / C – 85, LS – 86 report COT extreme /
FTG Score / D -61.3, W -11.3, M -12.4 /
Although bullish extreme grew larger, the HUGE daily FTG score pushes me towards the assumption that price will continue to fall.

All the best,
Dunstan

COT Charts
FOREX Trading
Futures Trading
Attached Images (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Report45_EUR.png Size: 170 KB Click to Enlarge Name: Report45_OJ.png Size: 180 KB Click to Enlarge Name: Report45_S&P-500.png Size: 185 KB
Hi everyone,

The latest Commitments of Traders review is out.

New Zealand Dollar
COT Change (52W) / C - 27%, LS – 30% /
FTG Score / D -16.9, W -30.2, M -43.6 /
Huge bearish cot change signal which brings expectations of lower prices in the short run… still, I’d say that we shouldn’t forget about the all-time bullish extreme which caused the recent rallies --> it is still in place… On the other hand we see greater weaknesses in the future from FuturesTradingGuides: Monthly FTG score at -43.6, weekly scores are also significant… Sum: I may step aside from this market and search for more clearer opportunities.

Heating Oil
COT Extreme / C - 76, LS – 154, SS – 73 report COT extreme /
FTG Score / D -6.6, W 13.4, M -6.8 /
My focus is purely on the cot report here, since FTG scores are more or less in neutral zone for me… Looking at the 5-year chart it becomes clear that we are headed towards the end of this decline. I am not suggesting to exit current short positions / enter long, since throughout my years of experience I have seen multiple examples of extremes widening to greater and great levels for many weeks/months… If I had to bet, I’d say there is a large chance this will happen here, but (!) the warning signs are here.

Lumber
COT Extreme / C, LS – 147 report COT extreme /
FTG Score / D -33.4, W -5.2, M 39.5 /
Huge bullish extreme suggesting higher prices coming, still… -33.4 daily FTG scores pull me back from entering yet. The monthly scores definitely support the picture painted by the cot report. Sum: we may see a shift in the trend happening the next couple of months.

All the best,
Dunstan

COT Charts
FOREX Trading
Futures Trading
Attached Images (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Report51_Lumber.png Size: 181 KB Click to Enlarge Name: Report51_Heating Oil.png Size: 188 KB Click to Enlarge Name: Report51_New Zealand Dollar.png Size: 196 KB
COT is a lagging data, you suggest to bet on past trends? Doesn't work probably since 1990s
Quoting dispersion
COT is a lagging data, you suggest to bet on past trends? Doesn't work probably since 1990s
Do you even know what COT data represents?
Quoting MoshiM
{quote} Do you even know what COT data represents?
Obv not
Why is COT data not updated after 31st dec? any reason
Part time trader
Quoting rkr81
Why is COT data not updated after 31st dec? any reason
Hi rkr81,

I'm sure you know that due to government shutdown, CFTC was not publishing the reports... they've just started to issue them, here you can find a schedule for the new releases: https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/7864-19

All the best,
Dunstan
Quoting Dunstan
{quote} Hi rkr81, I'm sure you know that due to government shutdown, CFTC was not publishing the reports... they've just started to issue them, here you can find a schedule for the new releases: https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/7864-19 All the best, Dunstan
Thank you Mr. Dunstan. I dint know about shutdown.
Part time trader
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search

0 traders viewing now