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- tonny47 replied Dec 14, 2020
Libya producing a lot and OPEC monthly report came out
- tonny47 replied Nov 7, 2020
Just too many moving pieces so hard to tell
- tonny47 replied Nov 6, 2020
in a long run (10 years), yes. in a short run, I would expect price to go up because supply will decrease because US government would stop subsidizing oil companies which means less competition for OPEC
- tonny47 replied Nov 6, 2020
wouldnt Biden win help oil price to go up? he wants to go relatively green as far as I understand it so not good for US industry - which means less competition and higher oil prices. i am aware that he would consider lifting Iran oil sanctions but ...
- tonny47 replied Nov 3, 2020
Not that much is used for heating. I think it falls under 3% bucket as Residential. It's mostly about transport url
- tonny47 replied Nov 1, 2020
Expected like 30 cents gap down at the back of UK lockdown followed by a move down but first few minutes after market open just now surprised me with such a sharp sudden drop
- tonny47 replied Nov 1, 2020
Fair comment. All I am saying is that I will be probably look for short positions
- tonny47 replied Oct 31, 2020
lot more lockdowns across Europe now, I wouldn't bet on this level holding
- tonny47 replied Oct 29, 2020
I am so gutted. Opened extra large long I could not afford at 35.01, once price moved 15 cents in my favour, moved to break even, only for price to pop exactly to 35.01 and then move high very fast. Could have been spectacular trade. ...
- tonny47 replied Oct 26, 2020
that's brilliant. i would have done much better without constant getting in and out. i think it will go lower but out now. not sure if it will retrace little bit or not
- tonny47 replied Oct 25, 2020
Hope you managed to hold it as planned. I opened similar trade like 2 weeks ago with almost identical entry and exit price but didn't have patience to wait it through. Opened short today few min after market open at 39.48 with target at 38.91. Price ...
- tonny47 replied Oct 23, 2020
There it is, further drop. Managed to squeeze out a little more. Probably time to stop now
- tonny47 replied Oct 23, 2020
Oil seemed to be ignoring that fact. Lot of support in the way, not sure if it's going to break lower before weekend
- tonny47 replied Oct 23, 2020
Wooow what a day. My shorts finally paid off. Opened crazy large position (by my standards at least ) so I was sh*tting myself most of the day. At one point I was shaken out by single tick but re-entered short even though 18 ticks lower. Got a ...
- tonny47 replied Oct 22, 2020
I think 40 acts as a strong support plus stimulus conversation are still ongoing. Closed my short for 50 cent profit. Shorted again at 40.82 but chicken out when Putin said he is happy to extend cuts into 2021 so closed at break even
- tonny47 replied Oct 22, 2020
Lots of uncertainty around stimulus and they are not keen to approve it before elections. There was a stimulus on 23 March also but that didn't prevent market collapsing. Different situation but still. Interesting to see how this is going to play ...
- tonny47 replied Oct 21, 2020
True, but should be positive short term for oil
- tonny47 replied Oct 21, 2020
Definitely good to keep an eye on that but the way it's currently going, it doesn't seem it's going to be approved pre-election. What time does senate meet today to vote?
- tonny47 replied Oct 19, 2020
Still holding my short - hopefully will break to the downside Nothing overly positive seemed to have come out from JMMC's meeting earlier today. Russia’s Energy Mininster said that they see a shortage in the oil market - could this mean that Russia ...
- tonny47 replied Oct 19, 2020
Me too. Hopefully it will go to around $39. Fundamentals seem weak for oil