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- blunderbuss replied Sep 13, 2021
Monday, Sept. 13, 2021. Updates: 1) I added the name of the coffee futures, KTZ1, to the chart, because the delivery dates for these futures will have to be taken into consideration. 2) Since we have no open positions, the prospect of a short trade ...
- blunderbuss replied Sep 11, 2021
Friday, Sept. 10, 2021. I have rearranged my little speech bubbles on the chart so that they flow a little better. Also, I arbitrarily put in a note to indicate where the stop loss for our abortive short entry might be. I haven't finished ...
- blunderbuss replied Sep 9, 2021
Thursday, Sept. 9: exit long #2. image
- blunderbuss replied Sep 8, 2021
Wednesday, Sept 8: the "STOP LOSS" post. Real Turtle Traders will tell you that they keep track of price changes in order to calculate N, which is used as a measure of volatility. "N" has been described as the 20-day exponential moving average of ...
- blunderbuss replied Sep 7, 2021
Tuesday Sept. 7. The CME listing for "coffee C continuous" futures looks like this: image I think I've posted this before, but it's a good primer: url
- blunderbuss replied Sep 3, 2021
Friday, Sept. 3. image N.B.: The prices in the little blue tags are entered by the computer and are not always 100% spot on. If you look at the two black vertical lines on the right, the one that says "191.20" should read "191.15," which is the ...
- blunderbuss replied Sep 2, 2021
Thursday Sept. 2/2021: Green arrows indicate "Sell and Sell Short" entries... image One of my favorite books on trading is a "how-to" guide on trading by Dr. Alexander Elder called Sell and Sell Short. If I had to summarize his approach, I would ...
- blunderbuss replied Sep 1, 2021
Wednesday, Sept.1/2021: image We are still long in this hypothetical, back-tested trade. The two vertical black lines are ten trading days apart. When you include weekdays, that's two weeks. If a new low occurred on the 10th day, that would be a ...
- blunderbuss replied Aug 30, 2021
Monday, August 30, 2021. The high price reached 200.20 on my chart today. image We are still long in this hypothetical trade.
- blunderbuss replied Aug 28, 2021
Have a good weekend! image
- blunderbuss replied Aug 28, 2021
Friday's close: 2021 08 27 N.B. In the Turtle Trading book that I'm using, there is a reference to a filter rule that might change the way people look at this chart: The Turtles ignored the System One four-week breakout signal if the last four-week ...
- blunderbuss replied Aug 25, 2021
WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 25: Stagnant. image Well, the Turtles didn't promise excitement EVERY day...
- blunderbuss replied Aug 25, 2021
After trading: Tuesday, August 24th: image I put two flags that mark the low prices for today (the 24th) and two weeks earlier. Neither one represents a "new two-week low," so we are still long in this hypothetical trade.
- blunderbuss replied Aug 24, 2021
Last Friday's low was 178.10 but was not an exit signal. Out of the previous ten trading days, it was not a new low. There were in fact two lower prices: one is labeled on the map (172.45). The OHLC candle after that still has a low of 177.55, which ...
- blunderbuss replied Aug 21, 2021
And, because it seems you can't have two images in one post, or it'll use up too much memory, here is the requisite girlie pic. image
- blunderbuss replied Aug 21, 2021
AMENDMENT/CORRECTION: I wasn't sure if I was following the system right, so I went and got out the Google Sheets page and wrote out all the OHLC numbers from 17 Mar 2021 to the start of the chart. I wanted to be sure that I was getting the right ...
- blunderbuss replied Aug 18, 2021
After the close of trading on 18 August 2021... What chart is this? THEICE.com explains... The Coffee C contract is the world benchmark for Arabica coffee. The contract prices physical delivery of exchange-grade green beans, from one of 20 countries ...
- blunderbuss replied Aug 17, 2021
After Tueday's close, the chart looked like this: image N.B. I am limiting my focus to going long, although I did point out a four-week low, which would have been a short entry point (according to the book). I am hoping the price does not get ...
- blunderbuss replied Aug 14, 2021
AMENDMENT: I used June 1st as a starting point for my back-testing. But if I had entered a long there, I would have exited at the vertical green line, which marks a new two-week low price. image Such an exit would have meant a loss, followed by a ...