Via a note from Morgan Stanley, analysts at the firm expect oil demand to grow at a rate above its historical trend this year.

  • 2024 is arguably the first ‘normal’ year in a while in which oil demand is mostly reflecting slower-moving drivers, such as economic growth, population expansion, government policies and technological change
  • What we are finding is this: not only is oil demand continuing to grow, but it is doing so at a rate above the historical trend rate. Given the focus on ‘peak oil demand’ in recent years, this is actually somewhat of a surprise.

In April Morgan Stanley cranked up their price forecasts:

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Oil has dribbled lower in opening trade for the new week:

morgan stanley oil demnd 2024 20 May 2024 2