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Sticky US inflation reaffirms Fed caution on rate cuts
US January CPI has come in on the high side of expectations, with headline up 0.3% MoM versus the 0.2% consensus while core rose 0.4% MoM versus the 0.3% market expectations. This means the annual rate of headline inflation falls to 3.1% from 3.4% and core remains at 3.9%. The details show the upside surprise coming from shelter, which increased 0.6% MoM, led by owners' equivalent rent, which also increased 0.6%. Airline fares rose 1.4% MoM while medical care increased 0.5%, the same as recreation while education increased 0.4%. These last three are all the fastest rate of increase for a number of months. We did get ... (full story)