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Why the Bank of England might not raise rates on Thursday
Investor expectations for the Bank of England have come a long way since the start of July. Back then markets were pricing four more rate hikes, in addition to the one in August. Now it’s less than two, and investors are toying with the idea of a pause from the Bank of England on Thursday. Investors are pricing a 20% chance of a ‘no change’ decision, and that follows a series of comments from BoE officials that appear to be laying the ground for a pause. The Bank has made it abundantly clear that it thinks keeping rates elevated for a long period of time is now more important than how high they peak. Back in ... (full story)