Get 40% Off
🚨 Volatile Markets? Find Hidden Gems for Serious OutperformanceFind Stocks Now

Oil Rebound Stalls as Recession Fears Outweigh Supply Crunch

Published 09/27/2022, 09:04 PM
Updated 09/27/2022, 09:10 PM
© Reuters.

By Ambar Warrick 

Investing.com-- A rebound in oil prices appeared to be running out of fuel on Wednesday as fears of slowing short-term demand offset a potential supply shortage stemming from OPEC production cuts and a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico.

Prices remained close to eight-month lows, as rising interest rates and growing fears of an economic slowdown dented expectations of short-term demand. 

London-traded Brent oil futures rose 0.1% to $84.46 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures fell 0.5% to $78.15 a barrel by 21:19 ET (01:19 GMT). Both contracts rallied nearly 2% each on Tuesday.

Concerns over slowing demand came back into play after data from the American Institute of Petroleum showed U.S. crude stockpiles rose by much more than expected last week, up 4 million barrels as compared to expectations of 333,000 barrels. 

The figures brewed more concerns that rising interest rates and 40-year high inflation would likely weigh on demand in the near term.

Investment bank Goldman Sachs also slashed its oil price forecasts, but said that tightening supply, particularly from Russia, would likely spur a rebound in prices early next year. 

Additionally, the dollar rose back up to near 20-year highs on Wednesday, putting more downward pressure on crude prices. A hawkish Federal Reserve has boosted the dollar this year, and is one of the biggest downward drivers of crude prices. 

Fears of weakening demand largely offset hopes for a potential supply crunch in the United States.

About 11% of U.S. oil production in the Gulf of Mexico, or 190,000 barrels per day (bpd), was shut this week as major producers evacuated some offshore platforms in anticipation of Hurricane Ian. 

3rd party Ad. Not an offer or recommendation by Investing.com. See disclosure here or remove ads .

Producers including Chevron (NYSE:CVX), Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) and BP (NYSE:BP) began taking precautions against the storm earlier this week. The Gulf of Mexico accounts for about 15% of total U.S. oil production. 

Additionally, Reuters reported that Russia is set to push for the OPEC+ to cut supply by at least 1 million barrels per day during its monthly meeting next week. Other members of the cartel have also supported production cuts to stabilize oil prices. 

While crude prices have plummeted from highs hit earlier this year, tightening supply, particularly from Russia, may provide an upward boost by the year-end. Demand for heating oil during winter may also support prices.

Latest comments

I guess no mention of the SPR bleeding 1M barrels a day right? so all these numbers put out are fake and tainted. how can there be a 4M surplus when we drain 7M barrels a week from the SPR? bleeding the SPR to gain votes in November midterm elections. we are either in a recession now heading there. yet we still need 1M barrels a day of SPR to flood the market. what happens when the SPR is dry or needs to be refilled or the tap is stopped? these articles are biased and omit key facts
this just makes king dollar held its crown
this just makes king dollar held its crown
this just makes king dollar held its crown
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.